What are the primary business risks of XYZ Corp. in this situation?

XYZ Corp., a company with a long-standing history of low debt levels and conservative financial policies, is contemplating a $2 billion leveraged recapitalization to repurchase 20% of its outstanding shares. XYZ has historically maintained a debt-to-equity ratio of around 0.2, but now, due to a combination of industry pressures, potential growth opportunities, and shareholder demands for a higher return, it is considering taking on significantly more debt to fund the share buyback. The new debt would be perpetual and constant, and the company expects the buyback to be a surprise to the market, likely resulting in stock price fluctuations. The  

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The company’s existing debt is rated BBB by the credit agencies, and the interest on the new debt would be issued at a fixed rate of 5%. XYZ Corp. is subject to a 30% tax rate, and a 9% discount rate is used for the purpose of calculating the present value of future dividends. The new debt is expected to be issued immediately, and management projects the share buyback will result in a noticeable change to the company’s earnings per share (EPS) and stock price.
Q: From the point of view of a bondholder, how should the increased debt load affect their outlook for XYZ Corp.’s ability to meet future obligations? What potential risks would bondholders face if the company’s operations or market conditions change unexpectedly?
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