Time Series Problem set page 40

1. (a) Consider the quarterly earnings of Johnson & Johnson from 1960 to 1980 in the file q-earn-jnj.txt . Perform a log transformation of the data, detrend and deseasonalize the data, and subtract the mean, in order to obtain a sequence of observations that appears to be stationary with zero mean. Plot the sample autocovariance or autocorrelation function of the obtained time series. Perform the Box-Ljung test for m=5 and m=10 and draw conclusions. Use some forecasting method built in in the software you are using to forecast 24 values and plot the original series together with the 24 predicted values. [Hint: This is fairly straightforward if you use the software ITSM – This will be demonstrated in class].

(b) Consider the accidental deaths between 1973 and 1978 in the file Deaths.txt . Repeat the tasks stated in (a) without the log transformation and forecast 36 values for the deaths time series.

3. #1.8(a) see attachement p.40

and express the autocovariance function of the detrended and deseasonalized time series in terms of the stationary process {Y_t}.

4. Suppose that {X_t} is a stationary time series with mean mu and ACF rho(.). Show that the best mean square predictor of X_{n+h} of the form

a X_n + b is obtained by choosing a = rho(h) and b = mu (1-rho(h)), where the best mean square predictor minimizes the mean square error (MSE) E(X_{n+h} – predictor)^2.

5. Find the ACVF of the time series

Y_t = Z_t – 1.2 Z_{t-1} – 1.6 Z_{t-2}, where {Z_t} ~ WN(0, 0.25).

9007
8106
8928
9137
10017
10826
11317
10744
9713
9938
9161
8927
7750
6981
8038
8422
8714
9512
10120
9823
8743
9129
8710
8680
8162
7306
8124
7870
9387
9556
10093
9620
8285
8433
8160
8034
7717
7461
7776
7925
8634
8945
10078
9179
8037
8488
7874
8647
7792
6957
7726
8106
8890
9299
10625
9302
8314
8850
8265
8796
7836
6892
7791
8129
9115
9434
10484
9827
9110
9070
8633
9240

.71
.63
.85
.44
.61
.69
.92
.55
.72
.77
.92
.6
.83
.8
1
.77
.92
1
1.24
1
1.16
1.3
1.45
1.25
1.26
1.38
1.86
1.56
1.53
1.59
1.83
1.86
1.53
2.07
2.34
2.25
2.16
2.43
2.7
2.25
2.79
3.42
3.69
3.6
3.6
4.32
4.32
4.05
4.86
5.04
5.04
4.41
5.58
5.85
6.57
5.31
6.03
6.39
6.93
5.85
6.93
7.74
7.83
6.12
7.74
8.91
8.28
6.84
9.54
10.26
9.54
8.729999
11.88
12.06
12.15
8.91
14.04
12.96
14.85
9.99
16.2
14.67
16.02
11.61

ITSM2000/AIRPASS.TSM
112
118
132
129
121
135
148
148
136
119
104
118
115
126
141
135
125
149
170
170
158
133
114
140
145
150
178
163
172
178
199
199
184
162
146
166
171
180
193
181
183
218
230
242
209
191
172
194
196
196
236
235
229
243
264
272
237
211
180
201
204
188
235
227
234
264
302
293
259
229
203
229
242
233
267
269
270
315
364
347
312
274
237
278
284
277
317
313
318
374
413
405
355
306
271
306
315
301
356
348
355
422
465
467
404
347
305
336
340
318
362
348
363
435
491
505
404
359
310
337
360
342
406
396
420
472
548
559
463
407
362
405
417
391
419
461
472
535
622
606
508
461
390
432

ITSM2000/APPA.TSM
10.38
11.86
10.97
10.8
9.79
10.39
10.42
10.82
11.4
11.32
11.44
11.68
11.17
10.53
10.01
9.91
9.14
9.16
9.55
9.67
8.44
8.24
9.1
9.09
9.35
8.82
9.32
9.01
9
9.8
9.83
9.72
9.89
10.01
9.37
8.69
8.19
8.67
9.55
8.92
8.09
9.37
10.13
10.14
9.51
9.24
8.66
8.86
8.05
7.79
6.75
6.75
7.82
8.64
10.58
9.48
7.38
6.9
6.94
6.24
6.84
6.85
6.9
7.79
8.18
7.51
7.23
8.42
9.61
9.05
9.26
9.22
9.38
9.1
7.95
8.12
9.75
10.85
10.41
9.96
9.61
8.76
8.18
7.21
7.13
9.1
8.25
7.91
6.89
5.96
6.8
7.68
8.38
8.52
9.74
9.31
9.89
9.96

ITSM2000/APPB.TSM
110.94
110.69
110.43
110.56
110.75
110.84
110.46
110.56
110.46
110.05
109.6
109.31
109.31
109.25
109.02
108.54
108.77
109.02
109.44
109.38
109.53
109.89
110.56
110.56
110.72
111.23
111.48
111.58
111.9
112.19
112.06
111.96
111.68
111.36
111.42
112
112.22
112.7
113.15
114.36
114.65
115.06
115.86
116.4
116.44
116.88
118.07
118.51
119.28
119.79
119.7
119.28
119.66
120.14
120.97
121.13
121.55
121.96
122.26
123.79
124.11
124.14
123.37
123.02
122.86
123.02
123.11
123.05
123.05
122.83
123.18
122.67
122.73
122.86
122.67
122.09
122
121.23

ITSM2000/APPC.TSM
1361
1278
1443
1524
1483
1404
1450
1517
1324
1533
1622
1564
1244
1456
1534
1689
1641
1588
1614
1639
1763
1779
1622
1491
1603
1820
1517
1448
1467
1550
1562
1569
1455
1524
1486
1484
1361
1433
1423
1438
1478
1488
1529
1432
1482
1452
1460
1656
1370
1378
1394
1352
1265
1194
1086
1119
1046
843
961
990
1067
1123
1056
1091
1304
1248
1364
1407
1421
1491
1538
1308
1380
1520
1466
1554
1408
1405
1512
1495
1556
1569
1630
1548
1769
1705
1561
1524
1583
1528
1368
1358
1507
1381
1229
1327
1085
1305
1319
1264
1290
1385
1517
1399
1534
1580
1647
1893
1828
1741
1910
1986
2049
2026
2083
2158
2041
2128
2182
2295
2494
2390
2334
2249
2221
2254
2252
2382
2481
2485
2421
2366
2481
2289
2365
2084
2266
2067
2123
2051
1874
1677
1724
1526

ITSM2000/APPD.TSM
54.1
59.5
56.5
63.9
57.8
62
58.5
65
59.6
63.6
60.4
66.3
60.6
66.8
63.2
71
66.5
72
67.8
75.6
69.2
74.1
70.7
77.8
72.3
78.1
72.4
82.6
72.9
79.5
72.6
82.8
76
85.1
80.5
89.1
84.8
94.2
89.5
99.3
93.1
103.5
96.4
107.2
101.7
109.5
101.3
112.6
105.5
115.4
108
129.9
112.4
123.6
114.9
131
122.6
131.9
120.5
130.7
115.7
119.7
109.7
125.1

ITSM2000/APPE.TSM
128
134
133
141
134
142
143
136
108
142
146
149
141
156
151
160
156
160
161
149
118
147
158
146
132
139
139
137
144
146
149
142
101
141
122
145
148
137
137
155
152
153
152
153
113
151
159
165
161
160
167
178
167
176
173
164
123
175
175
176
174

ITSM2000/APPF.TSM
96
97
99
100
102
106
102
80
104
104
107
102
100
107
110
111
114
113
109
91
116
118
123
121
119
125
131
132
135
138
132
106
134
132
136
132
133
140
142
146
148
149
147
115
150
152
158
154
155
159
160
163
167
160
162
126
160
161
167
167
164
165
173
179
181
182
175
131
183
181
184
179
181
179
187
185
183
177
176
130
176
175
181
176
175
182
182
185
191
191
188
139
189
190
199
193
195
200
205
208
216
216
210
169
217
213
220
217

ITSM2000/APPG.TSM
269
321
585
871
1475
2821
3928
5943
4950
2577
523
98
184
279
409
2285
2685
3409
1824
409
151
45
68
213
546
1033
2129
2536
957
361
377
225
360
731
1638
2725
2871
2119
684
299
236
245
552
1623
3311
6721
4254
687
255
473
358
784
1594
1676
2251
1426
756
299
201
229
469
736
2042
2811
4431
2511
389
73
39
49
59
188
377
1292
4031
3495
587
105
153
387
758
1307
3465
6991
6313
3794
1836
345
382
808
1388
2713
3800
3091
2985
3790
674
81
80
108
229
399
1132
2432
3574
2935
1537
529
485
662
1000
1590
2657
3396

ITSM2000/APPH.TSM
37123
34712
29619
21151
24859
25152
42375
50839
61581
61951
76231
63264
44730
31094
49452
43961
61727
60334
51404
58451
73575
74343
27708
31985
39266
44740
60429
72273
79214
79060
84244
62590
35072
36160
45600
47508
52290
110824
76503
64303
83023
40748
35396
29479
42264
58171
50815
51285
70229
76365
70407
41839
45978
47813
57620
66549
54673
55996
60053
39169
21534
17857
21788
33008

ITSM2000/APPI.TSM
224347
179075
175472
194682
292530
493952
512291
345626
258806
302267
313502
254246
177291
206020
335385
357060
509769
418370
320824
412164
618081
414173
232251
443999
703789
767896
671982
523802
583319
437121
486030
499727
478078
829034
1029296
1069183
1083067
817003
347050
380132
344878
223614
322160
574742
806103
934646
648687
674811
813159
551716
568934
701487
767741
928199
1650214
1488287
924439
1056253
695070
407472
172418
302195
749142
963597

ITSM2000/APPJ.TSM
6.94
3.48
5.92
5.11
7.00
2.23
5.78
5.26
5.19
4.83
4.48
5.98
4.45
5.73
6.38
2.47
7.43
2.73
5.90
5.19
5.08
4.28
3.64
6.01
3.08
5.98
5.07
6.43
3.64
6.84
1.49
7.39
2.36
5.24
4.63
6.87
2.81
6.27
4.98
3.45
4.90
4.11
5.40
6.38
3.94
4.96
6.35
2.75
6.03
4.76
3.31
5.56
5.06
4.28
3.89
7.47
3.60
8.88
1.26
7.78
2.76
9.23
2.95
6.38
4.35
5.33
5.00
4.87
6.74
3.37
6.56
3.45
4.54
4.95
4.34
3.69
7.40
3.18
6.92
3.40
7.65
3.42
5.91
3.91
6.99
2.15
7.17
3.94
3.87
7.61
3.73
5.08
6.61
1.94
6.17
5.73
4.14
5.76
3.56
5.44
4.81
5.46
5.01
3.05
6.48
6.35
3.86
5.01
6.49
3.43
7.70
2.13
8.47
2.41
5.93
4.69
5.29
6.44
5.14
5.93
3.95
5.87
4.64
7.25
5.00
5.06
4.93
6.00
5.59
6.24
3.79
4.51
6.00
4.76
5.55
4.74
5.61
6.52
5.95
4.38
5.95
5.80
4.87
6.47
4.01
5.57
6.30
3.34
6.38
4.73
4.70
6.29
1.98
6.71
5.39
5.73
5.55
5.88
4.27
4.34
4.26
4.98
3.38
6.14
5.45
5.92
2.62
7.68
3.37
3.90
7.01
1.24
9.03
1.08
7.86
0.87
9.26
1.29
7.59
3.90
4.37
6.00
3.56
5.92
4.38
6.24
6.57
3.05
6.43
4.03
5.86
4.82
2.90
5.65
5.14
3.17
6.73
4.43
3.99
4.46

ITSM2000/APPJK2.TSM
6.94 15.21
3.48 21.13
5.92 14.14
5.11 18.22
7.00 8.74
2.23 17.33
5.78 17.10
5.26 22.20
5.19 4.44
4.83 11.62
4.48 17.50
5.98 18.59
4.45 14.77
5.73 14.63
6.38 17.16
2.47 13.44
7.43 15.63
2.73 20.99
5.90 11.98
5.19 20.13
5.08 11.90
4.28 13.94
3.64 14.06
6.01 19.71
3.08 15.73
5.98 12.79
5.07 14.12
6.43 7.77
3.64 11.03
6.84 13.36
1.49 17.36
7.39 12.82
2.36 22.16
5.24 8.83
4.63 22.66
6.87 10.65
2.81 10.72
6.27 6.77
4.98 15.73
3.45 7.26
4.90 12.82
4.11 12.38
5.40 7.26
6.38 7.90
3.94 12.11
4.96 14.56
6.35 17.11
2.75 16.15
6.03 17.12
4.76 19.97
3.31 12.36
5.56 15.92
5.06 14.00
4.28 7.05
3.89 10.19
7.47 10.78
3.60 9.21
8.88 7.36
1.26 17.01
7.78 12.14
2.76 24.86
9.23 12.34
2.95 23.49
6.38 12.76
4.35 26.97
5.33 14.95
5.00 22.94
4.87 15.88
6.74 20.30
3.37 19.13
6.56 17.26
3.45 19.99
4.54 15.76
4.95 19.82
4.34 11.09
3.69 10.70
7.40 11.71
3.18 10.65
6.92 7.61
3.40 17.73
7.65 9.71
3.42 18.58
5.91 15.04
3.91 24.44
6.99 14.33
2.15 17.18
7.17 12.21
3.94 21.90
3.87 12.28
7.61 20.73
3.73 11.76
5.08 8.82
6.61 16.89
1.94 12.58
6.17 13.63
5.73 19.38
4.14 9.80
5.76 17.85
3.56 19.01
5.44 18.91
4.81 18.88
5.46 14.20
5.01 16.58
3.05 17.32
6.48 16.85
6.35 18.32
3.86 16.11
5.01 19.17
6.49 21.18
3.43 16.17
7.70 12.02
2.13 21.46
8.47 17.35
2.41 22.76
5.93 14.03
4.69 25.30
5.29 13.46
6.44 17.17
5.14 12.98
5.93 20.27
3.95 22.75
5.87 20.75
4.64 23.21
7.25 17.67
5.00 17.24
5.06 13.78
4.93 19.22
6.00 14.90
5.59 13.06
6.24 10.99
3.79 17.73
4.51 21.11
6.00 22.43
4.76 16.87
5.55 14.56
4.74 17.60
5.61 14.45
6.52 14.89
5.95 18.00
4.38 24.21
5.95 22.95
5.80 19.59
4.87 14.67
6.47 21.08
4.01 24.71
5.57 20.18
6.30 22.18
3.34 18.08
6.38 17.29
4.73 16.30
4.70 8.69
6.29 16.46
1.98 14.26
6.71 11.23
5.39 12.90
5.73 5.82
5.55 15.13
5.88 18.50
4.27 17.66
4.34 17.37
4.26 17.78
4.98 13.96
3.38 13.89
6.14 11.98
5.45 13.02
5.92 10.64
2.62 18.09
7.68 19.92
3.37 24.02
3.90 13.62
7.01 24.69
1.24 13.59
9.03 10.97
1.08 16.25
7.86 4.93
0.87 21.28
9.26 10.00
1.29 18.47
7.59 4.75
3.90 23.36
4.37 6.40
6.00 17.65
3.56 13.67
5.92 14.15
4.38 14.16
6.24 10.63
6.57 17.78
3.05 11.99
6.43 13.65
4.03 17.64
5.86 11.00
4.82 17.07
2.90 15.07
5.65 16.24
5.14 14.92
3.17 11.62
6.73 16.75
4.43 16.54
3.99 10.82
4.46 18.45

ITSM2000/APPK.TSM
15.21
21.13
14.14
18.22
8.74
17.33
17.10
22.20
4.44
11.62
17.50
18.59
14.77
14.63
17.16
13.44
15.63
20.99
11.98
20.13
11.90
13.94
14.06
19.71
15.73
12.79
14.12
7.77
11.03
13.36
17.36
12.82
22.16
8.83
22.66
10.65
10.72
6.77
15.73
7.26
12.82
12.38
7.26
7.90
12.11
14.56
17.11
16.15
17.12
19.97
12.36
15.92
14.00
7.05
10.19
10.78
9.21
7.36
17.01
12.14
24.86
12.34
23.49
12.76
26.97
14.95
22.94
15.88
20.30
19.13
17.26
19.99
15.76
19.82
11.09
10.70
11.71
10.65
7.61
17.73
9.71
18.58
15.04
24.44
14.33
17.18
12.21
21.90
12.28
20.73
11.76
8.82
16.89
12.58
13.63
19.38
9.80
17.85
19.01
18.91
18.88
14.20
16.58
17.32
16.85
18.32
16.11
19.17
21.18
16.17
12.02
21.46
17.35
22.76
14.03
25.30
13.46
17.17
12.98
20.27
22.75
20.75
23.21
17.67
17.24
13.78
19.22
14.90
13.06
10.99
17.73
21.11
22.43
16.87
14.56
17.60
14.45
14.89
18.00
24.21
22.95
19.59
14.67
21.08
24.71
20.18
22.18
18.08
17.29
16.30
8.69
16.46
14.26
11.23
12.90
5.82
15.13
18.50
17.66
17.37
17.78
13.96
13.89
11.98
13.02
10.64
18.09
19.92
24.02
13.62
24.69
13.59
10.97
16.25
4.93
21.28
10.00
18.47
4.75
23.36
6.40
17.65
13.67
14.15
14.16
10.63
17.78
11.99
13.65
17.64
11.00
17.07
15.07
16.24
14.92
11.62
16.75
16.54
10.82
18.45

ITSM2000/ARCH.TSM
ITSM Univariate Project
Color
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 4238958 8530578 983040 15761408
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 16777215 983040
8388608 0 10486000
Model
0
0
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0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
1.000000000000000
0.000000000000000E+000
F
Data
1
1000
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9.353690000000000E-001 1.311340000000000E-002 -1.398930000000000
-3.650490000000000E-001 3.828290000000000E-001 -2.088730000000000E-001
-6.603650000000000E-001 -7.777350000000000E-001 -9.150250000000000E-001
-1.338270000000000 1.554110000000000 3.257300000000000E-001
-2.574180000000000E-001 4.859030000000000E-001 -1.420310000000000
1.419750000000000 2.307990000000000 -2.328790000000000
-2.928250000000000 -4.064120000000000 -1.547670000000000
-2.316910000000000 1.774710000000000 -3.403130000000000E-002
5.865050000000001E-001 5.381590000000001E-001 6.377670000000000E-001
3.648520000000000E-001 -5.574680000000000E-001 -1.209260000000000
9.689440000000000E-001 -1.455290000000000E-001 -9.171630000000000E-001
1.261990000000000 1.711660000000000 5.585700000000000E-001
-3.148500000000000E-001 9.786640000000000E-001 3.240430000000000E-001
-5.769330000000000E-002 2.390960000000000E-001 -7.198450000000000E-001
1.612890000000000E-001 -5.556890000000000E-001 4.838580000000000E-001
-5.994510000000000E-001 4.096330000000000E-001 -4.104950000000000E-002
7.755470000000000E-001 4.380020000000000E-002 4.872700000000000E-001
-1.762120000000000 -9.571010000000000E-001 -7.778140000000000E-003
1.531600000000000 8.906460000000001E-001 1.217470000000000
-1.395670000000000 1.193370000000000 1.223020000000000
3.544680000000000E-001 2.160480000000000 -1.100110000000000E-001
-4.123320000000000E-001 1.215500000000000 1.085040000000000
-4.561600000000000E-001 1.341940000000000 -3.137640000000000E-001
1.441530000000000E-001 -2.231300000000000E-001 1.439220000000000
-2.619540000000000 -3.539790000000000 1.923400000000000
-3.864560000000000E-001 1.712360000000000 2.621460000000000
-1.903980000000000E-001 -2.081560000000000E-001 -4.043610000000000E-001
-2.557350000000000 3.683020000000000E-001 1.572820000000000
1.421580000000000 -7.194730000000000E-001 1.686130000000000
-1.224600000000000 3.425630000000000E-001 1.909530000000000E-001
2.617540000000000E-001 -3.156370000000000E-001 -1.145460000000000
4.053970000000000E-002 -2.479090000000000E-001 5.383150000000000E-001
9.916270000000000E-001 1.707410000000000 -3.811280000000000E-001
3.364840000000000 2.348130000000000E-001 -1.120970000000000
-7.016150000000000E-001 -5.576030000000000E-002 4.390240000000000E-001
2.194320000000000E-001 -4.360270000000000E-001 1.537720000000000
2.337470000000000E-001 2.445480000000000 -1.977380000000000
1.592210000000000 1.886100000000000 -3.060900000000000
4.009160000000000E-001 -1.792700000000000E-001 7.780210000000000E-001
1.193800000000000 3.222690000000000E-001 -8.417540000000000E-001
-2.010300000000000E-001 -7.403760000000000E-001 -3.739960000000000E-001
1.926560000000000 2.147200000000000 1.740920000000000
-2.633560000000000 -7.790620000000000E-001 -3.174410000000000E-001
1.366670000000000 -1.576110000000000 2.410220000000000
2.371750000000000 2.162150000000000 1.923250000000000E-001
-1.826420000000000 -1.338900000000000 -6.764560000000000E-001
1.562360000000000 3.804620000000000E-001 8.944300000000000E-002
-2.243630000000000E-002 -1.802750000000000E-001 9.538430000000000E-001
-1.245980000000000 6.229270000000000E-001 8.701720000000000E-001
-6.447250000000000E-001 -3.102580000000000E-001 1.033820000000000
1.006970000000000 -1.263570000000000 1.044530000000000
-1.146470000000000 1.019720000000000E-001 -1.227130000000000
7.843790000000001E-002 -1.358260000000000 -2.170170000000000
-5.672330000000000E-001 1.950390000000000 -2.993320000000000
5.351050000000000 4.233880000000000 -7.183690000000000E-001
-4.885910000000000E-001 5.045230000000001E-001 -5.309910000000000E-001
1.987840000000000E-001 3.934530000000000E-001 -4.530500000000000E-001
1.962490000000000 -3.565620000000000 2.301340000000000
1.655810000000000 -1.096760000000000 9.344140000000000E-001
-1.251150000000000 -6.134460000000001E-001 -7.058600000000000E-001
-9.732770000000000E-001
Regression components
F
Garch components
F
10.000000000000000
0
0
1.000000000000000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
Transformation(s)
0

ITSM2000/BEER.TSM
ITSM Univariate Project
Color
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 4238958 8530578 983040 15761408
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 16777215 983040
8388608 0 10486000
Model
0
0
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
1.000000000000000
0.000000000000000E+000
F
Data
1
422
Series

93.200000000000000 77.099999999999990 70.099999999999990 100.600000000000000 95.900000000000010 80.000000000000000 75.700000000000000 101.100000000000000 96.300000000000000 81.900000000000010 74.800000000000000 98.700000000000000 89.800000000000000 85.599999999999990 77.500000000000000 97.700000000000000 97.099999999999990 80.500000000000000 73.599999999999990 93.500000000000000 105.100000000000000 81.400000000000010 78.700000000000000 109.900000000000000 100.000000000000000 87.099999999999990 84.900000000000010 114.900000000000000 106.000000000000000 96.300000000000000 86.500000000000000 119.100000000000000 106.100000000000000 101.000000000000000 92.700000000000000 113.900000000000000 106.900000000000000 98.200000000000000 95.300000000000000 116.200000000000000 104.600000000000000 98.800000000000000 89.099999999999990 122.100000000000000 116.400000000000000 103.600000000000000 95.000000000000000 127.500000000000000 131.500000000000000 118.900000000000000 104.600000000000000 142.500000000000000 131.200000000000000 119.400000000000000 114.500000000000000 143.400000000000000 126.900000000000000 130.000000000000000 120.300000000000000 142.900000000000000 132.600000000000000 134.000000000000000 118.600000000000000 144.400000000000000 128.100000000000000 120.000000000000000 121.400000000000000 157.600000000000000 153.100000000000000 137.200000000000000 145.800000000000000 174.100000000000000 164.100000000000000 159.200000000000000 130.000000000000000 179.700000000000000 161.400000000000000 158.100000000000000 149.300000000000000 188.400000000000000 182.700000000000000 158.700000000000000 139.600000000000000 157.000000000000000 159.800000000000000 158.400000000000000 137.200000000000000 165.600000000000000 170.700000000000000 157.000000000000000 138.600000000000000 172.100000000000000 173.700000000000000 147.100000000000000 148.800000000000000 182.200000000000000 170.000000000000000 156.200000000000000 149.800000000000000 156.800000000000000 203.600000000000000 155.900000000000000 141.100000000000000 191.900000000000000 159.400000000000000 158.400000000000000 159.700000000000000 165.500000000000000 141.600000000000000 132.500000000000000 121.700000000000000 162.800000000000000 151.500000000000000 151.200000000000000 137.500000000000000 167.900000000000000 166.500000000000000 148.300000000000000 151.600000000000000 181.600000000000000 161.200000000000000 164.600000000000000 152.500000000000000 186.300000000000000 177.200000000000000 154.400000000000000 147.300000000000000 151.200000000000000 154.100000000000000 151.900000000000000 148.200000000000000 183.700000000000000 153.300000000000000 143.700000000000000 141.700000000000000 183.400000000000000 171.900000000000000 153.600000000000000 148.300000000000000 193.800000000000000 164.000000000000000 Regression components
F
Garch components
F
10.000000000000000
0
0
1.000000000000000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 Transformation(s)
0 96.000000000000000 95.200000000000000
70.900000000000010 64.800000000000000
77.300000000000000 79.500000000000000
100.700000000000000 107.100000000000000
82.800000000000000 83.300000000000000
80.400000000000010 67.500000000000000
71.099999999999990 89.300000000000000
105.200000000000000 114.100000000000000
84.400000000000010 91.200000000000000
80.500000000000000 70.400000000000010
75.900000000000010 86.300000000000000
100.900000000000000 113.800000000000000
84.400000000000010 87.200000000000000
72.000000000000000 69.200000000000000
78.099999999999990 94.300000000000000
100.200000000000000 116.400000000000000
93.000000000000000 96.000000000000000
76.099999999999990 69.900000000000010
92.599999999999990 94.200000000000000
108.500000000000000 109.400000000000000
92.500000000000000 97.099999999999990
79.099999999999990 72.099999999999990
87.099999999999990 91.400000000000010
116.300000000000000 113.000000000000000
84.800000000000000 94.300000000000000
90.300000000000000 72.400000000000010
92.700000000000000 92.200000000000000
112.500000000000000 118.300000000000000
91.200000000000000 96.599999999999990
88.200000000000000 70.200000000000000
88.200000000000000 102.800000000000000
119.200000000000000 125.100000000000000
102.100000000000000 105.200000000000000
84.300000000000000 87.500000000000000
94.400000000000010 113.000000000000000
122.900000000000000 132.700000000000000
96.599999999999990 127.300000000000000
100.200000000000000 89.400000000000010
104.200000000000000 106.400000000000000
135.900000000000000 134.000000000000000
107.100000000000000 123.500000000000000
98.599999999999990 90.599999999999990
105.200000000000000 114.000000000000000
138.000000000000000 142.200000000000000
112.600000000000000 123.800000000000000
113.900000000000000 98.599999999999990
116.000000000000000 113.900000000000000
131.400000000000000 145.900000000000000
131.000000000000000 130.500000000000000
114.300000000000000 85.700000000000000
105.100000000000000 117.300000000000000
140.000000000000000 159.800000000000000
125.400000000000000 126.500000000000000
113.500000000000000 98.700000000000000
113.800000000000000 133.100000000000000
137.300000000000000 165.200000000000000
124.000000000000000 135.700000000000000
109.400000000000000 117.800000000000000
121.000000000000000 132.300000000000000
147.400000000000000 175.900000000000000
123.700000000000000 153.300000000000000
119.600000000000000 116.200000000000000
130.700000000000000 129.300000000000000
163.200000000000000 179.400000000000000
138.400000000000000 152.700000000000000
140.500000000000000 116.200000000000000
127.800000000000000 143.600000000000000
166.200000000000000 182.300000000000000
147.600000000000000 157.700000000000000
151.500000000000000 98.700000000000000
151.700000000000000 129.400000000000000
197.000000000000000 193.900000000000000
142.800000000000000 157.900000000000000
162.200000000000000 123.100000000000000
150.100000000000000 169.400000000000000
182.100000000000000 194.300000000000000
169.400000000000000 168.800000000000000
158.500000000000000 135.300000000000000
143.400000000000000 142.200000000000000
166.200000000000000 199.200000000000000
145.200000000000000 182.100000000000000
141.600000000000000 132.600000000000000
147.000000000000000 166.600000000000000
180.400000000000000 210.200000000000000
157.800000000000000 168.200000000000000
152.000000000000000 142.200000000000000
152.600000000000000 166.800000000000000
198.600000000000000 201.500000000000000
164.400000000000000 179.700000000000000
168.000000000000000 139.300000000000000
153.400000000000000 138.900000000000000
198.400000000000000 217.800000000000000
153.800000000000000 175.600000000000000
160.300000000000000 135.200000000000000
151.000000000000000 148.200000000000000
189.200000000000000 183.100000000000000
158.400000000000000 176.100000000000000
153.200000000000000 117.900000000000000
156.600000000000000 166.700000000000000
158.600000000000000 210.800000000000000
175.200000000000000 168.700000000000000
147.300000000000000 137.000000000000000
167.400000000000000 160.200000000000000
174.400000000000000 208.200000000000000
161.100000000000000 172.100000000000000
114.600000000000000 159.600000000000000
159.400000000000000 160.700000000000000
205.000000000000000 205.200000000000000
148.100000000000000 184.900000000000000
137.300000000000000 135.500000000000000
166.100000000000000 146.800000000000000
186.800000000000000 185.500000000000000
158.100000000000000 143.000000000000000
147.600000000000000 130.700000000000000
146.100000000000000 133.600000000000000
181.900000000000000 202.000000000000000
151.300000000000000 146.200000000000000
144.700000000000000 123.600000000000000
133.900000000000000 137.400000000000000
182.000000000000000 190.000000000000000
155.500000000000000 141.900000000000000
136.200000000000000 126.800000000000000
126.600000000000000 150.100000000000000
147.500000000000000 200.400000000000000
127.400000000000000 177.100000000000000
135.200000000000000 126.400000000000000
140.600000000000000 152.300000000000000
172.200000000000000 215.300000000000000
159.300000000000000 160.400000000000000
148.400000000000000 139.600000000000000
153.500000000000000 145.100000000000000
210.500000000000000 203.300000000000000
144.300000000000000 169.600000000000000
160.000000000000000 135.500000000000000
159.900000000000000 145.600000000000000
198.100000000000000 186.700000000000000
150.500000000000000 163.000000000000000
152.800000000000000 135.400000000000000
148.300000000000000 133.500000000000000
208.400000000000000 197.000000000000000
148.000000000000000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000

ITSM2000/CHAOS.TSM
0.861852885
0.476249957
0.997743742
0.009004670
0.035694342
0.137681025
0.474899840
0.997479928
0.010054885
0.039815139
0.152919574
0.518140711
0.998683658
0.005258436
0.020923138
0.081941440
0.300908161
0.841449759
0.533648248
0.995471182
0.018033233
0.070832142
0.263259800
0.775816311
0.695701451
0.846803769
0.518908583
0.998569862
0.005712371
0.022718960
0.088811235
0.323695199
0.875666469
0.435498818
0.983358390
0.065458668
0.244695322
0.739278086
0.770983989
0.706270710
0.829809577
0.564902573
0.983150624
0.066261897
0.247485033
0.744944766
0.760008247
0.729582847
0.789166866
0.665530096
0.890399150
0.390354015
0.951911032
0.183105677
0.598311952
0.961339040
0.148665160
0.506255321
0.999843484
0.000625967
0.002502299
0.009984151
0.039537870
0.151898506
0.515301400
0.999063469
0.003742617
0.014914440
0.058767999
0.221257285
0.689209995
0.856798312
0.490779859
0.999659956
0.001359714
0.005431459
0.021607833
0.084563738
0.309650850
0.855068805
0.495704576
0.999926197
0.000295189
0.001180407
0.004716055
0.018775255
0.073690981
0.273042482
0.793961140
0.654347394
0.904707528
0.344847267
0.903710517
0.348071273
0.907670647
0.335218573
0.891388325
0.387260716
0.949159415
0.193023279
0.623061171
0.939423793
0.227626920
0.703251622
0.834755112
0.551756059
0.989285241
0.042399810
0.162408264
0.544127279
0.992211133
0.030912803
0.119828805
0.421879450
0.975588719
0.095261483
0.344746932
0.903585940
0.348473557
0.908158948
0.333625092
0.889277559
0.393851927
0.954930347
0.172153519
0.570066739
0.980362608
0.077007058
0.284307885
0.813907647
0.605847957
0.955184840
0.171227047
0.567633381
0.981702903
0.071849252
0.266747748
0.782373549
0.681060716
0.868868068
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0.727925250
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0.182246393
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0.035156532
0.135682202
0.469090168
0.996178329
0.015228263
0.059985451
0.225548785
0.698706123
0.842063507
0.531970229
0.995911618
�

ITSM2000/CHOCS.TSM
2953 Chocolate-based confectionery production.
2635 Monthly production in tonnes.
2404 July 1957 to October 1990
2413
2136
1565
1451
2037
2477
2785
2994
2681
3098
2708
2517
2445
2087
1801
1216
2173
2286
3121
3458
3511
3524
2767
2744
2603
2527
1846
1066
2327
3066
3048
3806
4042
3583
3438
2957
2885
2744
1837
1447
2504
3248
3098
4318
3561
3316
3379
2717
2354
2445
1542
1606
2590
3588
3202
4704
4005
3810
3488
2781
2944
2817
1960
1937
2903
3357
3552
4581
3905
4581
4037
3345
3175
2808
2050
1719
3143
3756
4776
4540
4309
4563
3506
3665
3361
3094
2440
1633
2935
4159
4159
4894
4921
4577
4155
3851
3429
3370
2726
1674
3257
4731
4481
5443
5566
5044
4781
4014
3561
3801
2685
1805
3756
4227
4595
5702
4681
4395
4459
4191
3742
3279
2468
1742
3366
3633
3701
4926
4522
5275
4717
4114
3851
3493
2654
2168
3561
4305
4413
5307
5361
4948
4472
3846
3715
3343
2939
1615
3497
3915
4858
4962
4504
4767
4291
4091
4164
3915
3130
1696
3887
4749
4781
5089
5484
5072
4611
4117
3910
4252
3624
1678
3851
5021
4581
6195
5338
4909
4640
3706
4113
3879
3411
2043
3736
4490
3715
5623
4671
5591
5461
4795
4846
4843
3278
2411
4278
4639
4559
6404
4851
6480
6394
5752
4718
4659
3842
2873
5556
5389
6135
6707
5220
6249
5281
4192
4867
3752
3492
1979
4584
5139
5044
5501
5044
5035
5167
4650
5298
4373
3941
2334
4381
5665
4393
5232
5876
5900
5704
4718
4650
4446
3061
2155
4274
4695
4362
4889
5370
5072
4985
3978
4139
3995
3025
1949
4357
4638
3994
6174
5656
4411
5504
4463
4458
4528
2830
1843
5042
5348
5257
6699
5388
6001
5966
4845
4507
4214
3460
1833
4978
6464
5820
6447
6191
6628
5452
5295
5080
5564
3965
2062
5099
6162
5529
6416
6382
5624
5785
4644
5331
5143
4596
2180
5786
5840
5666
6360
6219
6082
5653
5726
5049
5859
4091
2167
6480
7375
6583
7251
6730
6428
5228
4716
6101
5753
4000
2691
5898
6526
5840
6650
5717
7236
6523
5729
6004
5950
4690
3687
7791
7153
6434
7850
6809
8379
6914
6919
7265
6994
5503
3782
7502
8119
7292
6886
7049
7977
8519
6680
7994
7047
5782
3771 January 1988
7906
8970
6077
7919
7340
7791
7368
8255
7816
7476
6696
4484 January 1989
8274
8866
8572
9176
8645
8265
9558
7037
9101
8180
7072
3832 January 1990
7253
8667
7658
8859
7291
7529
8715
8450
9085
8350
7080
3210 January 1991
8221

ITSM2000/DEATHS.TSM
9007
8106
8928
9137
10017
10826
11317
10744
9713
9938
9161
8927
7750
6981
8038
8422
8714
9512
10120
9823
8743
9129
8710
8680
8162
7306
8124
7870
9387
9556
10093
9620
8285
8433
8160
8034
7717
7461
7776
7925
8634
8945
10078
9179
8037
8488
7874
8647
7792
6957
7726
8106
8890
9299
10625
9302
8314
8850
8265
8796
7836
6892
7791
8129
9115
9434
10484
9827
9110
9070
8633
9240

ITSM2000/DJAO2.TSM
3621.63 1941.50 Sep 10, 93
3634.21 1938.30 DJ AO daily closing values
3615.76 1912.90
3633.65 1903.60
3630.85 1902.60
3613.25 1925.50
3575.80 1924.10
3537.24 1925.20
3547.02 1919.30
3539.75 1928.60
3543.11 1946.50
3567.70 1943.00
3566.02 1942.30
3566.30 1951.40
3555.12 1964.40
3581.11 1972.70
3577.76 1977.00
3587.26 1998.50
3598.99 2018.80
3583.63 2022.50
3584.74 2026.20
3593.41 2039.80
3593.13 2028.00
3603.19 2038.60
3621.63 2062.00
3629.73 2074.10
3642.31 2085.50
3635.32 2075.50
3645.10 2051.70
3636.16 2060.40
3649.30 2061.40
3673.61 2046.90
3672.49 2055.70
3664.66 2068.30
3687.86 2076.30
3680.59 2112.20
3692.61 2132.40
3697.64 2125.30
3661.87 2108.40
3624.98 2101.60
3643.43 2079.90
3647.90 2054.20
3640.07 2050.80
3663.55 2042.90
3662.43 2052.40
3684.51 2074.00
3677.52 2082.90
3710.77 2083.80
3704.35 2104.30
3685.34 2108.00
3694.01 2083.20
3670.25 2049.30
3674.17 2009.60
3687.58 2032.40
3687.58 2042.00
3683.95 2043.10
3677.80 2010.30
3683.95 2009.40
3697.08 2005.40
3702.11 2047.30
3704.07 2047.40
3710.21 2053.70
3718.88 2073.90
3734.53 2096.00
3729.78 2095.70
3740.67 2084.90
3764.43 2094.50
3742.63 2086.60
3716.92 2069.90
3726.14 2074.80
3751.57 2080.20
3755.21 2076.00
3745.15 2067.00
3762.19 2053.20
3757.72 2068.80
3757.72 2089.20
3792.93 2089.20
3793.77 2089.20
3794.33 2126.90
3775.88 2154.50
3754.09 2173.60
3756.60 2173.60
3783.90 2174.30
3798.82 2193.40
3803.88 2200.30
3820.77 2186.00
3865.51 2198.60
3850.31 2206.70
3848.63 2195.60
3842.43 2177.50
3867.20 2206.40
3870.29 2238.20
3870.29 2232.10
3884.37 2248.20
3891.96 2266.20
3914.48 2250.30
3912.79 2224.50
3895.34 2221.90
3908.00 2221.90
3926.30 2250.70
3945.43 2259.90
3978.36 2310.80
3964.01 2310.10
3975.54 2312.10
3967.66 2340.60
3871.42 2332.80
3906.32 2281.10
3906.03 2305.40
3931.92 2270.90
3895.34 2234.30
3894.78 2241.40
3904.06 2238.60
3928.27 2234.00
3937.27 2249.00
3922.64 2240.90
3887.46 2223.20
3887.46 2178.50
3911.66 2202.50
3891.68 2218.90
3839.90 2197.00
3838.78 2148.80
3832.02 2180.10
3809.23 2181.70
3831.74 2154.00
3824.42 2151.40
3832.30 2116.80
3856.22 2144.70
3851.72 2171.70
3853.41 2146.80
3830.62 2155.10
3862.70 2153.10
3862.98 2179.30
3849.59 2172.50
3848.15 2173.50
3865.14 2164.40
3895.65 2163.50
3864.85 2140.50
3862.55 2140.80
3869.46 2180.90
3821.09 2169.80
3774.73 2151.60
3762.35 2108.90
3699.02 2100.80
3626.75 2092.40
3635.96 2053.10
3635.96 2053.10
3593.35 2053.10
3675.41 2050.00
3679.73 2084.10
3693.26 2087.40
3674.26 2082.00
3688.83 2076.00
3681.69 2095.10
3661.47 2111.20
3663.25 2095.00
3661.47 2080.60
3620.42 2095.90
3619.82 2061.40
3598.71 2046.60
3652.54 2029.60
3648.68 2042.50
3705.78 2042.50
3699.54 2069.40
3699.54 2059.70
3668.31 2069.10
3681.69 2066.10
3701.02 2047.90
3714.41 2044.20
3697.75 2018.40
3695.97 1988.10
3669.50 2004.30
3629.04 2009.30
3656.41 2008.20
3629.04 2034.60
3652.84 2041.40
3659.68 2070.00
3671.50 2110.90
3720.61 2096.00
3732.89 2107.80
3758.98 2093.70
3766.35 2103.90
3742.41 2121.00
3745.17 2132.40
3755.30 2105.90
3753.46 2096.90
3757.14 2102.20
3757.14 2091.80
3758.37 2081.80
3760.83 2097.20
3758.99 2077.00
3772.22 2078.60
3768.52 2072.50
3755.91 2070.20
3749.45 2079.70
3753.14 2076.70
3773.45 2069.40
3783.12 2069.40
3814.83 2076.60
3790.41 2074.40
3811.34 2056.00
3776.78 2051.20
3741.90 2024.40
3707.97 1993.60
3724.77 2010.90
3699.09 2022.50
3636.94 2017.90
3685.50 1957.40
3669.64 1974.40
3667.05 1975.10
3624.96 1989.10
3646.65 1965.80
3646.65 1987.10
3652.48 2003.40
3674.50 1991.20
3688.42 1962.20
3709.14 1964.90
3702.99 1961.20
3702.66 1972.90
3704.28 1978.60
3739.25 2007.70
3753.81 2058.00
3755.43 2072.30
3748.31 2077.40
3727.27 2078.60
3732.45 2049.20
3735.04 2052.50
3741.84 2048.30
3735.68 2041.30
3720.47 2041.70
3730.83 2042.10
3764.50 2061.50
3798.17 2082.10
3796.22 2086.90
3792.16 2072.30
3765.79 2083.50
3747.02 2091.90
3753.81 2081.10
3755.76 2086.80
3766.76 2076.50
3750.90 2062.80
3768.71 2051.90
3760.29 2055.70
3784.57 2040.00
3776.48 2059.50
3755.43 2066.80
3755.11 2061.30
3751.22 2063.60
3775.83 2051.60
3846.73 2061.10
3829.89 2077.80
3881.05 2077.20 Aug 26, 94
�

ITSM2000/DJAOPC2.TSM
0.347357405 -0.164821015
-0.507675671 -1.310426663
0.494778414 -0.486172827
-0.077057504 -0.052532045
-0.484734979 1.203616104
-1.036463018 -0.072708387
-1.078360087 0.057169586
0.276486752 -0.306461666
-0.204960784 0.484551659
0.094921958 0.928134398
0.694023048 -0.179809915
-0.047089161 -0.036026763
0.007851891 0.468516707
-0.313490172 0.666188378
0.731058305 0.422520872
-0.093546414 0.217975364
0.26552927 1.087506323
0.326990516 1.015761821
-0.426786404 0.183277194
0.03097418 0.182941904
0.241858545 0.671207186
-0.007792042 -0.578488087
0.279978737 0.522682446
0.511768738 1.147846561
0.223656199 0.586808923
0.346582253 0.549635987
-0.191911177 -0.479501319
0.269027211 -1.146711636
-0.245260761 0.424038602
0.361370237 0.048534265
0.666155153 -0.703405453
-0.030487722 0.429918413
-0.213206843 0.612929902
0.633073737 0.386791084
-0.197133297 1.72903723
0.326578076 0.956348831
0.136218014 -0.332958169
-0.967373784 -0.795181857
-1.007408783 -0.322519446
0.508968325 -1.032546631
0.122686589 -1.235636329
-0.214644042 -0.165514556
0.64504254 -0.385215526
-0.03057144 0.465025209
0.602878417 1.052426428
-0.18971315 0.429122469
0.904141922 0.043208987
-0.173009914 0.983779633
-0.51318045 0.175830442
0.235256449 -1.176470588
-0.643203456 -1.627304147
0.106804714 -1.937246865
0.36498039 1.13455414
0 0.472347963
-0.098438542 0.053868756
-0.166940376 -1.605403553
0.167219533 -0.044769437
0.356410918 -0.199064397
0.136053318 2.089358731
0.052942781 0.004884482
0.165763606 0.307707336
0.233679495 0.983590593
0.420825625 1.065625151
-0.127191373 -0.014312977
0.291974326 -0.515340936
0.635180329 0.460453739
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0.248054841 0.236726412
0.682475699 0.26026605
0.097026045 -0.201903663
-0.267894472 -0.433526012
0.454988452 -0.667634253
-0.118813776 0.759789597
0 0.986078886
0.937004354 0
0.022146467 0
0.014761042 1.804518476
-0.486251855 1.297663266
-0.577084018 0.886516593
0.066860411 0
0.726720971 0.032204637
0.394302175 0.878443637
0.133199257 0.314580104
0.444020316 -0.649911376
1.170968156 0.576395242
-0.393221076 0.368416265
-0.04363285 -0.50301355
-0.161096286 -0.824376025
0.644644144 1.327210103
0.079902772 1.441261784
0 -0.272540434
0.363797028 0.721293849
0.195398482 0.800640512
0.578628763 -0.701615038
-0.04317304 -1.146513798
-0.445973334 -0.116880198
0.325003722 0
0.468270215 1.296187947
0.48722716 0.408761719
0.834636529 2.252312049
-0.360701395 -0.030292539
0.290867077 0.086576339
-0.198212067 1.232645647
-2.425611065 -0.333247885
0.901478011 -2.21622085
-0.007423867 1.065275525
0.66282133 -1.49648651
-0.93033429 -1.611695803
-0.014376152 0.317772904
0.23826763 -0.124921924
0.620123666 -0.205485571
0.229108488 0.671441361
-0.37157726 -0.360160071
-0.896844982 -0.789861216
0 -2.010615329
0.622514444 1.101675465
-0.510780589 0.7446084
-1.330530773 -0.986975528
-0.029167426 -2.193900774
-0.176097614 1.456626955
-0.594725497 0.073391129
0.590933076 -1.269652106
-0.191035926 -0.120705664
0.206044315 -1.60825509
0.624168254 1.318027211
-0.116694587 1.258917331
0.043876502 -1.146567205
-0.591424219 0.386621949
0.837462343 -0.092803118
0.007248816 1.216850123
-0.346623591 -0.312026798
-0.037406581 0.046029919
0.441510856 -0.418679549
0.789363387 -0.041581963
-0.790625441 -1.063092212
-0.059510718 0.014015417
0.178897361 1.87313154
-1.250045226 -0.508964189
-1.213266372 -0.838786985
-0.327970477 -1.984569623
-1.683256475 -0.384086491
-1.953760726 -0.399847677
0.253946371 -1.878225961
0 0
-1.171905081 0
2.283662877 -0.150991184
0.117537907 1.663414634
0.367690021 0.15834173
-0.514450648 -0.258695027
0.396542433 -0.288184438
-0.193557307 0.920038536
-0.549204306 0.768459739
0.048614354 -0.767336112
-0.048590732 -0.687350835
-1.121134408 0.735364799
-0.016572663 -1.6460709
-0.583178169 -0.717958669
1.495813778 -0.830645949
-0.105679883 0.63559322
1.564949516 0
-0.168385603 1.317013464
0 -0.468734899
-0.844159004 0.456377142
0.364745619 -0.144990576
0.525030625 -0.880886695
0.361792155 -0.180672884
-0.448523453 -1.262107426
-0.048137381 -1.501189061
-0.716185467 0.814848348
-1.102602534 0.249463653
0.754193947 -0.054745434
-0.74854844 1.314610099
0.655820823 0.334218028
0.187251563 1.400999314
0.322979058 1.975845411
1.337600436 -0.70586006
0.330053405 0.562977099
0.698922283 -0.668943923
0.196063826 0.487175813
-0.635628659 0.812776273
0.073749269 0.53748232
0.270481714 -1.242731195
-0.048997417 -0.42737072
0.098042872 0.252754066
0 -0.494719817
0.032737667 -0.478057176
0.065453907 0.739744452
-0.04892537 -0.963189014
0.351956244 0.077034184
-0.098085478 -0.293466756
-0.334614119 -0.110977081
-0.171995602 0.458892861
0.098414434 -0.144251575
0.54114688 -0.351519237
0.256264161 0
0.838197044 0.347926935
-0.640133374 -0.105942406
0.552183009 -0.887003471
-0.906767698 -0.233463035
-0.92353804 -1.306552262
-0.906758599 -1.521438451
0.453078099 0.867776886
-0.689438543 0.576856134
-1.680142954 -0.227441286
1.335188373 -2.998166411
-0.430335097 0.868499029
-0.07057913 0.035453809
-1.147789095 0.70882487
0.59835143 -1.171384043
0 1.083528335
0.15987276 0.820290876
0.602878045 -0.60896476
0.378827051 -1.456408196
0.561758151 0.137600652
-0.165806629 -0.188304748
-0.008911717 0.596573526
0.043752329 0.288914795
0.944043107 1.470736885
0.389382898 2.505354386
0.043156153 0.694849368
-0.189592137 0.246103363
-0.561319635 0.057764513
0.138975711 -1.414413548
0.069391419 0.161038454
0.18205963 -0.204628502
-0.16462489 -0.341746814
-0.407154788 0.019595356
0.278459442 0.019591517
0.902480145 0.950002448
0.894408288 0.999272374
-0.051340514 0.230536478
-0.106948491 -0.699602281
-0.695382051 0.540462288
-0.498434591 0.403167747
0.181210669 -0.516277069
0.051947222 0.273893614
0.292883464 -0.493578685
-0.421051514 -0.659764026
0.474819377 -0.528407989
-0.223418623 0.18519421
0.64569488 -0.763730116
-0.213762726 0.955882353
-0.557397365 0.354454965
-0.008520995 -0.266111864
-0.103592172 0.111580071
0.656053231 -0.581508044
1.877732843 0.463053227
-0.437774421 0.810246956
1.3358086 -0.028876697
�

ITSM2000/DJAOPCF2.TSM
0.4586 1.6658
0.4732 0.2225
-0.0990 0.2646
-0.3061 -0.7822
-0.4065 0.0712
0.0000 -0.5458
0.3377 0.3865
-0.3193 0.0380
0.5715 -0.7270
-0.8610 -0.8855
-0.3734 -1.8207
0.5057 0.5263
0.3987 0.3376
1.5031 0.0147
-0.5192 0.3998
0.0857 -0.4808
-1.7179 -0.1952
-0.4520 -0.9047
-0.3757 0.0790
-0.1402 -0.0247
0.4564 0.1134
0.3585 -0.7980
0.3919 0.0199
-0.6072 0.8142
-0.2968 -0.0936
0.0963 0.1084
-1.1895 -1.6199
-0.3628 -0.9110
-0.3110 -0.1767
0.5793 -0.4453
0.6291 1.0419
1.4526 0.7848
-0.0433 -0.0499
0.3819 -0.1848
0.5275 0.3552
0.3442 0.4088
-0.1628 -0.5362
0.4722 0.4991
-0.6324 0.1440
-0.5075 0.9076
�

ITSM2000/DOWJ.TSM
110.94
110.69
110.43
110.56
110.75
110.84
110.46
110.56
110.46
110.05
109.6
109.31
109.31
109.25
109.02
108.54
108.77
109.02
109.44
109.38
109.53
109.89
110.56
110.56
110.72
111.23
111.48
111.58
111.9
112.19
112.06
111.96
111.68
111.36
111.42
112
112.22
112.7
113.15
114.36
114.65
115.06
115.86
116.4
116.44
116.88
118.07
118.51
119.28
119.79
119.7
119.28
119.66
120.14
120.97
121.13
121.55
121.96
122.26
123.79
124.11
124.14
123.37
123.02
122.86
123.02
123.11
123.05
123.05
122.83
123.18
122.67
122.73
122.86
122.67
122.09
122
121.23

ITSM2000/E1021.TSM
0.142
-2.197
0.211
0.224
1.537
1.221
0.167
-1.144
-0.286
-0.398
0.962
1.004
0.891
-0.427
-0.453
-0.397
-0.029
-0.280
-0.414
0.012
-2.085
-0.885
-0.773
1.151
1.366
-0.492
-0.513
0.535
0.875
0.078
0.743
-0.491
0.632
-0.945
0.893
1.272
-0.944
1.219
-0.367
-1.752
-1.073
2.041
0.916
0.271
-1.030
-0.025
-1.147
0.976
-0.239
-0.443
-1.182
-0.475
-0.447
2.558
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0.363

ITSM2000/E1032.TSM
ITSM Univariate Project
Color
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 4238958 8530578 983040 15761408
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 16777215 983040
8388608 0 10486000
Model
0
0
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0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
1.000000000000000
0.000000000000000E+000
F
Data
1
464
Series

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Regression components
F
Garch components
F
10.000000000000000
0
0
1.000000000000000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
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0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000 0.000000000000000E+000
Transformation(s)
0

ITSM2000/E1042.TSM
1.391
0.086
-1.172
-1.011
-0.907
1.006
-0.787
-0.526
0.793
-0.622
0.764
-0.225
0.233
-0.068
0.810
-1.566
-0.996
1.621
0.672
-0.824
1.376
0.208
-0.099
-0.394
0.130
-1.665
0.930
-1.091
1.666
-4.027
2.989
-1.592
0.595
-0.720
0.664
-0.761
1.006
-0.337
1.207
-1.234
0.192
1.931
-1.287
1.243
-2.433
1.265
2.235
-1.657
-0.192
0.933
-0.349
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0.535
-0.401
-1.468
1.651
-1.758
1.704
-1.102
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-0.010
1.217
-1.237
0.041
0.789
-0.865
0.442
0.844
-0.288
0.994
0.328
0.805
-1.823
0.692
-0.667
0.536
1.802
-2.973
3.513
-1.892
-0.929
1.805
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0.312
-0.767
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-1.118
0.242
0.950
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0.719
0.207
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-1.158
-0.567
2.004
-1.883
-1.058
0.996
0.685
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-0.115
1.970
-0.647
-1.523
1.139
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1.260
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0.454
0.695
-0.906
-1.192
0.040
0.956
-0.034
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0.952
1.379
-2.713
1.143
-1.520
0.268
1.356
-2.130
0.246
0.656
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2.100
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0.296
0.773
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1.381
0.638
0.429
-1.118
0.269
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0.264
1.216
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0.118
0.275
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1.117
0.368
-0.386
-0.041
-1.377
1.339
-0.386
1.279
-0.040
0.829
-0.486
-1.895

ITSM2000/E1062.TSM
-0.202 400 simulated observations of an MA(1) process.
-0.690 BD, Example 10.6.2
-0.482
-0.501
-2.370
-0.472
-0.578
-2.441
0.119
-0.010
1.451
2.442
-1.935
-2.009
1.959
-0.407
-1.593
0.608
0.280
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-1.341
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0.860
0.685
0.664
0.413
-1.712
-2.303
-1.276
-0.891
0.211
0.877
1.224
0.866
-0.110
-1.054
-0.970
0.648
1.640
1.547
0.653
0.755
0.552
-0.191
-0.938
-1.260
-0.334
1.832
1.621
0.098
2.804
2.212
0.199
1.957
2.130
1.293
0.460
0.130
-0.687
-1.681
-0.562
1.308
1.477
-1.807
-2.261
-0.454
0.569
0.955
-0.415
-2.810
-3.127
-2.135
0.535
1.879
1.175
1.240
0.243
-0.383
-1.390
-1.529
-1.864
-1.960
0.392
1.007
0.506
1.651
1.227
-0.368
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0.115
0.204
-0.824
0.461
0.569
0.555
0.684
-2.047
-1.643
0.634
-0.487
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2.184
2.539
2.379
3.335
1.967
0.218
-0.124
0.196
-0.630
-0.948
1.607
2.604
2.199
2.022
1.096
-1.652
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0.395
-0.367
-1.689
-1.388
-0.917
1.036
2.016
-0.021
0.438
0.674
0.060
1.244
0.881
0.692
1.357
1.902
1.635
0.519
0.301
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0.319
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-1.922
-1.620
0.029
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0.912
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1.484
2.419
1.371
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0.129
0.328
-1.918
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-1.154
-3.416
-3.520
-0.239
-1.009
-3.393
0.338
1.506
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1.327
0.595
1.626
0.183
0.577
1.563
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0.390
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1.262
1.623
-0.035
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0.394
-0.302
0.293
0.567
-0.158
1.636
0.681
-0.338
2.520
2.127
1.031
3.205
2.473
0.500
1.045
1.418
2.133
2.190
1.330
0.217
0.096
0.470
0.758
-0.001
0.658
0.733
-0.016
-0.393
-0.776
0.981
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-0.645
0.828
-0.968
-0.666
1.825
1.958
-0.526
-2.022
-0.070
-0.154
-0.337
1.105
1.203
0.101
-0.157
0.373
-2.498
-2.161
-0.214
-1.024
1.767
1.456
-2.029
-0.663
0.164
0.888
2.047
-1.611
-2.073
0.876
-0.049
-1.405
-0.640
0.611
-2.393
-3.318
-1.889
-2.022
0.574
1.569
0.529
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�

ITSM2000/E1321.TSM
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3.009
3.334

ITSM2000/E1331.TSM
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0.162

ITSM2000/E1332.TSM
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8.030
4.505
2.746

ITSM2000/E334.TSM
1.704
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0.525

ITSM2000/E611.TSM
2.35529
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26.96949

ITSM2000/E731A.TSM

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ITSM2000/E731B.TSM

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-12593.37
-12740.76
-12889.65
-13039.82
-13190.25
-13339.56
-13486.25
-13629.28
-13769.90
-13910.10
-14051.69
-14196.29
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-14499.74
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-14819.80
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-15895.81
-16091.51
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-22053.19
-22195.57
-22335.07
-22474.41

ITSM2000/ELEC.TSM
1254 Electricity Production – Australia
1290 Million Kilowatt hours – monthly
1379
1346 January 1956 to April 1990
1535
1555
1655
1651
1500
1538
1486
1394
1409
1387
1543
1502
1693
1616
1841
1787
1631
1649
1586
1500
1497
1463
1648
1595
1777
1824
1994
1835
1787
1699
1633
1645
1597
1577
1709
1756
1936
2052
2105
2016
1914
1925
1824
1765
1721
1752
1914
1857
2159
2195
2287
2276
2096
2055
2004
1924
1851
1839
2019
1937
2270
2251
2382
2364
2129
2110
2072
1980
1995
1932
2171
2162
2489
2424
2641
2630
2324
2412
2284
2186
2184
2144
2379
2383
2717
2774
3051
2891
2613
2600
2493
2410
2390
2463
2616
2734
2970
3125
3342
3207
2964
2919
2764
2732
2622
2698
2950
2895
3200
3408
3679
3473
3154
3107
3052
2918
2786
2739
3125
3033
3486
3661
3927
3851
3456
3390
3280
3166
3080
3069
3340
3310
3798
3883
4191
4213
3766
3628
3520
3322
3250
3287
3552
3440
4153
4265
4655
4492
4051
3967
3807
3639
3647
3560
3929
3858
4485
4697
4977
4675
4596
4491
4127
4144
4014
3994
4320
4400
5002
5091
5471
5193
4997
4737
4546
4498
4350
4206
4743
4582
5191
5457
5891
5618
5158
5030
4800
4654
4453
4440
4945
4788
5425
5706
6061
5846
5242
5408
5114
5042
5008
4657
5359
5193
5891
5980
6390
6366
5756
5640
5429
5398
5413
5141
5695
5554
6369
6592
7107
6917
6353
6205
5830
5646
5379
5489
5824
5907
6482
6795
7028
6776
6274
6362
5940
5958
5769
5887
6367
6165
6868
7201
7601
7581
7090
6841
6408
6435
6176
6138
6717
6470
7312
7763
8171
7788
7311
6679
6704
6724
6552
6427
7105
6869
7683
8082
8555
8386
7553
7398
7112
6886
7077
6820
7426
7143
8261
8240
8977
8991
8026
7911
7510
7381
7366
7414
7824
7524
8279
8707
9486
8973
8231
8206
7927
7999
7834
7521
8284
7999
8940
9381
10078
9796
8471
8572
8150
8168
8166
7903
8606
8071
9178
9873
10476
9296
8818
8697
8381
8293
7942
8001
8744
8397
9115
9773
10358
9849
9083
9143
8800
8741
8492
8795
9354
8796
10072
10174
11326
10744
9806
9740
9373
9244
9407
8827
9880
9364
10580
10899
11687
11280
10208
10212
9725
9721
9846
9407
10265
9970
10801
11246
12167
11578
10645
10613
10104
10348
10263 January 1987
9973
10803
10409
11458
11845
12559
12070
11221
11338
10761
11012
10923 January 1988
10790
11427
10788
11772
12104
12634
12772
11764
11956
11646
11750
11485 January 1989
11198
12265
11704
12419
13259
13945
13839
12387
12546
12038
11977
12336 January 1990
11793
12877
11923
13306
13988
14002
14338
12867
12761
12449
12658
12807 January 1991
12013

ITSM2000/FINSERV.TSM
393 Australian Expenditure on Financial
444 Services in millions of dollars.
403 Sep. qtr 69 – Mar qtr 90
403
430
453
413
424
432
440
445
447
503
497
498
505
569
560
556
560
531
546
544
547
544
559
548
551
579
584
604
602
591
629
645
667
667
667
696
708
718
728
729
738
742
774
770
792
801
805
804
836
841
851
860
871
888
878
898
897
900
921
951 March 1985
957
999
1009
1021 March 1986
1068
1083
1118
1185 March 1987
1222
1349
1410
1445 March 1988
1491
1534
1574
1640 March 1989
1710
1809
1850
1907 March 1990
1972
2063
2150

ITSM2000/GNFP.TSM
18530 Australian Gross Non-farm Product
20175 at average 1984/5 prices in millions
18433 of dollars.
18928 Sep. qtr 59 – March Qtr 90
19850
20994
18635 1961
18792
19083
20760
19208 1962
20100
20516
22297
20233 1963
21118
22045
24345
21422 1964
22568
23655
25669
23118 1965
24492
25175
26569
23796 1966
24999
25796
27790
25537 1967
26890
27299
29583
26940 1968
28233
29048
31812
28581 1969
30215
31578
34377
30013 1970
32687
33555
36014
31938 1971
34014
35073
37840
33080 1972
35474
36019
39797
35675 1973
37086
38281
41493
36653 1974
38302
38308
41446
36970 1975
39590
36978
41966
38818 1976
40481
40993
43688
39302 1977
40987
41443
43212
40234 1978
42052
42616
45494
42403 1979
43259
43833
47389
43340 1980
44507
45383
49750
44630 1981
46735
47504
50376
44956 1982
46855
47093
50080
44575 1983
46400
47635
51275
48075 1984
49858
50949
54234
49756 1985
52415
54080
56858
51940 1986
53475
54716
58414
53231 1987
56078
57948
61196
56515 1988
58014
59755
63107
59095 1989
61147
62000
65205
60389 1990
62494
62050
65175

ITSM2000/GOALS.TSM
0 1872
1 1874
0 1876
2 1878
4 1880
1 1882
0 1884
1 1886
5 1888
1 1890
4 1892
2 1894
1 1896
3 1898
1 1900
1 1904
1 1906
1 1908
0 1910
1 1912
1 1914
NA 1916
NA 1918
0 1921
2 1923
0 1925
2 1927
0 1929
0 1931
1 1933
0 1935
1 1937
2 1939
NA 1941
NA 1943
NA 1945
2 1948
1 1950
2 1952
4 1954
1 1956
4 1958
1 1960
0 1962
0 1964
4 1966
1 1968
0 1970
1 1972
0 1974
1 1976
1 1978
2 1980
1 1982
1 1984
0 1985
0 1987

ITSM2000/IMPORTS.TSM
2391
2488 Australian imports of all goods and services
2624
2889 in millions of $A at average 1984/85 prices.
2981
3007 September quarter 1959 – December quarter 1990
3052
2677
2347
2268
2576
2792
2889
2871
2906
3060
3104
3021
3280
2602
3756
3840
3827
4095
4403
4077
3694
3734
3928
3809
4161
4276
4280
4210
4870
4694
4822
4628
4456
4729
5150
5157
5033
5233
5230
5072
4945
5178
5402
5033
4807
4532
4578
4877
5163
5394
6090
6383
6752
7043
7936
7159
6151
5803
6183
6204
6508
6503
7330
6872
7124
6874
6883
6414
6883
6894
6883
6414
7268
7395
7062
7442
7625
7104
7907
7916
7959
8156
8808
8589
9040
9102
8951
8220
7642
7691
8184
8110
8689
9206
10482
9741
9411
9872
10703
10205
9485
9690
10004
9891
9174
9879
10498
10852
10584
10826
12239
13060
13383
14124
14609
14035
13632
12704
14294
13447

ITSM2000/ITSM.exe

ITSM2000/ITSM.HLP

ITSM2000/LAKE.TSM
10.38
11.86
10.97
10.8
9.79
10.39
10.42
10.82
11.4
11.32
11.44
11.68
11.17
10.53
10.01
9.91
9.14
9.16
9.55
9.67
8.44
8.24
9.1
9.09
9.35
8.82
9.32
9.01
9
9.8
9.83
9.72
9.89
10.01
9.37
8.69
8.19
8.67
9.55
8.92
8.09
9.37
10.13
10.14
9.51
9.24
8.66
8.86
8.05
7.79
6.75
6.75
7.82
8.64
10.58
9.48
7.38
6.9
6.94
6.24
6.84
6.85
6.9
7.79
8.18
7.51
7.23
8.42
9.61
9.05
9.26
9.22
9.38
9.1
7.95
8.12
9.75
10.85
10.41
9.96
9.61
8.76
8.18
7.21
7.13
9.1
8.25
7.91
6.89
5.96
6.8
7.68
8.38
8.52
9.74
9.31
9.89
9.96

ITSM2000/LEAD.TSM
10.01
10.07
10.32
9.75
10.33
10.13
10.36
10.32
10.13
10.16
10.58
10.62
10.86
11.20
10.74
10.56
10.48
10.77
11.33
10.96
11.16
11.70
11.39
11.42
11.94
11.24
11.59
10.96
11.40
11.02
11.01
11.23
11.33
10.83
10.84
11.14
10.38
10.90
11.05
11.11
11.01
11.22
11.21
11.91
11.69
10.93
10.99
11.01
10.84
10.76
10.77
10.88
10.49
10.50
11.00
10.98
10.61
10.48
10.53
11.07
10.61
10.86
10.34
10.78
10.80
10.33
10.44
10.50
10.75
10.40
10.40
10.34
10.55
10.46
10.82
10.91
10.87
10.67
11.11
10.88
11.28
11.27
11.44
11.52
12.10
11.83
12.62
12.41
12.43
12.73
13.01
12.74
12.73
12.76
12.92
12.64
12.79
13.05
12.69
13.01
12.90
13.12
12.47
12.47
12.94
13.10
12.91
13.39
13.13
13.34
13.34
13.14
13.49
13.87
13.39
13.59
13.27
13.70
13.20
13.32
13.15
13.30
12.94
13.29
13.26
13.08
13.24
13.31
13.52
13.02
13.25
13.12
13.26
13.11
13.30
13.06
13.32
13.10
13.27
13.64
13.58
13.87
13.53
13.41
13.25
13.50
13.58
13.51
13.77
13.40

ITSM2000/LRES.TSM
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ITSM2000/LS2.TSM
10.01 200.1
10.07 199.5
10.32 199.4
9.75 198.9
10.33 199
10.13 200.2
10.36 198.6
10.32 200
10.13 200.3
10.16 201.2
10.58 201.6
10.62 201.5
10.86 201.5
11.2 203.5
10.74 204.9
10.56 207.1
10.48 210.5
10.77 210.5
11.33 209.8
10.96 208.8
11.16 209.5
11.7 213.2
11.39 213.7
11.42 215.1
11.94 218.7
11.24 219.8
11.59 220.5
10.96 223.8
11.4 222.8
11.02 223.8
11.01 221.7
11.23 222.3
11.33 220.8
10.83 219.4
10.84 220.1
11.14 220.6
10.38 218.9
10.9 217.8
11.05 217.7
11.11 215
11.01 215.3
11.22 215.9
11.21 216.7
11.91 216.7
11.69 217.7
10.93 218.7
10.99 222.9
11.01 224.9
10.84 222.2
10.76 220.7
10.77 220
10.88 218.7
10.49 217
10.5 215.9
11 215.8
10.98 214.1
10.61 212.3
10.48 213.9
10.53 214.6
11.07 213.6
10.61 212.1
10.86 211.4
10.34 213.1
10.78 212.9
10.8 213.3
10.33 211.5
10.44 212.3
10.5 213
10.75 211
10.4 210.7
10.4 210.1
10.34 211.4
10.55 210
10.46 209.7
10.82 208.8
10.91 208.8
10.87 208.8
10.67 210.6
11.11 211.9
10.88 212.8
11.28 212.5
11.27 214.8
11.44 215.3
11.52 217.5
12.1 218.8
11.83 220.7
12.62 222.2
12.41 226.7
12.43 228.4
12.73 233.2
13.01 235.7
12.74 237.1
12.73 240.6
12.76 243.8
12.92 245.3
12.64 246
12.79 246.3
13.05 247.7
12.69 247.6
13.01 247.8
12.9 249.4
13.12 249
12.47 249.9
12.47 250.5
12.94 251.5
13.1 249
12.91 247.6
13.39 248.8
13.13 250.4
13.34 250.7
13.34 253
13.14 253.7
13.49 255
13.87 256.2
13.39 256
13.59 257.4
13.27 260.4
13.7 260
13.2 261.3
13.32 260.4
13.15 261.6
13.3 260.8
12.94 259.8
13.29 259
13.26 258.9
13.08 257.4
13.24 257.7
13.31 257.9
13.52 257.4
13.02 257.3
13.25 257.6
13.12 258.9
13.26 257.8
13.11 257.7
13.3 257.2
13.06 257.5
13.32 256.8
13.1 257.5
13.27 257
13.64 257.6
13.58 257.3
13.87 257.5
13.53 259.6
13.41 261.1
13.25 262.9
13.5 263.3
13.58 262.8
13.51 261.8
13.77 262.2
13.4 262.7

ITSM2000/LYNX.TSM
269 Annual Canadian Lynx Trappings
321 1821 – 1934
585
871
1475
2821
3928
5943
4950
2577
523
98
184
279
409
2285
2685
3409
1824
409
151
45
68
213
546
1033
2129
2536
957
361
377
225
360
731
1638
2725
2871
2119
684
299
236
245
552
1623
3311
6721
4254
687
255
473
358
784
1594
1676
2251
1426
756
299
201
229
469
736
2042
2811
4431
2511
389
73
39
49
59
188
377
1292
4031
3495
587
105
153
387
758
1307
3465
6991
6313
3794
1836
345
382
808
1388
2713
3800
3091
2985
3790
674
81
80
108
229
399
1132
2432
3574
2935
1537
529
485
662
1000
1590
2657
3396

ITSM2000/NILE.TSM
1157
1088
1169
1169
984
1322
1178
1103
1211
1292
1124
1171
1133
1227
1142
1216
1259
1299
1232
1117
1155
1232
1083
1020
1394
1196
1148
1083
1189
1133
1034
1157
1034
1097
1299
1157
1130
1155
1349
1232
1103
1103
1083
1027
1166
1148
1250
1155
1047
1054
1018
1189
1126
1250
1297
1178
1043
1103
1250
1272
1169
1004
1083
1164
1124
1027
995
1169
1270
1011
1247
1101
1004
1004
1065
1223
1184
1216
1180
1142
1277
1206
1076
1076
1189
1121
1178
1031
1076
1178
1209
1022
1220
1070
1126
1058
1216
1358
1184
1083
1097
1119
1097
1097
1153
1153
1151
1151
1151
1184
1097
1043
1043
1002
1152
1097
1034
1002
989
1092
1115
1115
1047
1040
1038
1085
1126
1058
1067
1115
1263
1124
1110
1097
1097
1157
1000
991
995
1013
1007
971
971
980
993
1043
1097
982
971
971
1065
1022
1029
989
1029
995
982
1090
980
971
957
989
966
989
1022
1074
1110
1110
1061
1151
1128
1074
1043
1034
1074
966
1027
1029
1034
1065
989
1034
1002
1128
1178
1097
1142
1466
1097
1137
1097
1259
1313
1173
1169
1173
1088
1191
1146
1160
1142
1128
1169
1162
1115
1164
1088
1079
1083
1043
1110
1092
1110
1047
1076
1110
1043
1103
1034
1074
1052
1011
1097
1092
1110
1115
1097
1196
1115
1162
1151
1142
1126
1108
1187
1191
1153
1254
1187
1196
1331
1412
1349
1290
1211
1232
1166
1124
1146
1079

ITSM2000/OSHORTS.TSM
78
-58
53
-65
13
-6
-16
-14
3
-72
89
-48
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32
56
-86
-66
50
26
59
-47
-83
2
-1
124
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113
-76
-47
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39
-30
6
-73
18
2
-24
23
-38
91
-56
-58
1
14
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77
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97
10
-28
-17
23
-2
48
-131
65
-17

ITSM2000/POLIO.TSM
0
1
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0
1
3
9
2
3
5
3
5
2
2
0
1
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1
3
3
2
1
1
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0
3
1
0
1
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0
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1
6
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1
2
1
0
1
3
6

ITSM2000/SALES.TSM
200.1
199.5
199.4
198.9
199.0
200.2
198.6
200.0
200.3
201.2
201.6
201.5
201.5
203.5
204.9
207.1
210.5
210.5
209.8
208.8
209.5
213.2
213.7
215.1
218.7
219.8
220.5
223.8
222.8
223.8
221.7
222.3
220.8
219.4
220.1
220.6
218.9
217.8
217.7
215.0
215.3
215.9
216.7
216.7
217.7
218.7
222.9
224.9
222.2
220.7
220.0
218.7
217.0
215.9
215.8
214.1
212.3
213.9
214.6
213.6
212.1
211.4
213.1
212.9
213.3
211.5
212.3
213.0
211.0
210.7
210.1
211.4
210.0
209.7
208.8
208.8
208.8
210.6
211.9
212.8
212.5
214.8
215.3
217.5
218.8
220.7
222.2
226.7
228.4
233.2
235.7
237.1
240.6
243.8
245.3
246.0
246.3
247.7
247.6
247.8
249.4
249.0
249.9
250.5
251.5
249.0
247.6
248.8
250.4
250.7
253.0
253.7
255.0
256.2
256.0
257.4
260.4
260.0
261.3
260.4
261.6
260.8
259.8
259.0
258.9
257.4
257.7
257.9
257.4
257.3
257.6
258.9
257.8
257.7
257.2
257.5
256.8
257.5
257.0
257.6
257.3
257.5
259.6
261.1
262.9
263.3
262.8
261.8
262.2
262.7

ITSM2000/SBL.TSM
1577
1356
1652
1382
1519
1421
1442
1543
1656
1561
1905
2199
1473
1655
1407
1395
1530
1309
1526
1327
1627
1748
1958
2274
1648
1401
1411
1403
1394
1520
1528
1643
1515
1685
2000
2215
1956
1462
1563
1459
1446
1622
1657
1638
1643
1683
2050
2262
1813
1445
1762
1461
1556
1431
1427
1554
1645
1653
2016
2207
1665
1361
1506
1360
1453
1522
1460
1552
1548
1827
1737
1941
1474
1458
1542
1404
1522
1385
1641
1510
1681
1938
1868
1726
1456
1445
1456
1365
1487
1558
1488
1684
1594
1850
1998
2079
1494
1057
1218
1168
1236
1076
1174
1139
1427
1487
1483
1513
1357
1165
1282
1110
1297
1185
1222
1284
1444
1575
1737
1763

ITSM2000/SBL2.TSM

0
1.577000E+03

0
1.356000E+03

0
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0
1.382000E+03

0
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0
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0
1.442000E+03

0
1.543000E+03

0
1.656000E+03

0
1.561000E+03

0
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0
2.199000E+03

0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
1.427000E+03

1
1.487000E+03

1
1.483000E+03

1
1.513000E+03

1
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1
1.165000E+03

1
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1
1.110000E+03

1
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1
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1
1.222000E+03

1
1.284000E+03

1
1.444000E+03

1
1.575000E+03

1
1.737000E+03

1
1.763000E+03

ITSM2000/SBLD.TSM
-104
299
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84
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50
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110
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108
64
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61
109
48
145
17
88
254
250

ITSM2000/SBLDIN.TSM
0
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0

ITSM2000/SBLIN.TSM
0
0
0
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1
1
1
1
1

ITSM2000/SIGNAL.TSM
1.313713
1.606903
0.024068
1.253616
0.016990
-0.60852
0.055914
-0.17619
0.890955
0.506149
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0.252031
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1.203176
1.601735
1.471174
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0.694977
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1.579785
1.430638
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1.266679
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2.161308
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0.656040
1.824132
1.012981
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0.667354
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1.079300
0.713303
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0.091361
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2.071657
1.130554
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1.435040
1.937266
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0.658784
-0.13246
0.279618
-1.11801
0.038985

ITSM2000/SRES.TSM
-.921666E+00
-.896855E+00
-.133117E+01
-.947956E+00
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-.186327E+01
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-.434052E+00
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ITSM2000/STOCK7.TSM
ITSM Multivariate Project
Color
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 4238958 8530578 983040 15761408
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 16777215 983040
8388608 0 10486000
Model
Data
1
250
7
Australia
Dow-Jones Industrials
Hang-Seng
Indonesia
Malaysia
Nikkei 225
South Korea
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
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Transformation(s)
0
Transfer function model
F

ITSM2000/STOCKLG7.TSM
ITSM Multivariate Project
Color
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578
8429568 4137948 15761408 8530578 8429568 4137948
15761408 8530578 4238958 8530578 983040 15761408
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948
4137948 4137948 4137948 4137948 16777215 983040
8388608 0 10486000
Model
Data
1
463
7
Australia
Dow-Jones Industrials
Hang Seng
Indonesia
Malaysia
Nikkei 225
South Korea
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
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Transformation(s)
0
Transfer function model
F

ITSM2000/STRIKES.TSM
4737
5117
5091
3468
4320
3825
3673
3694
3708
3333
3367
3614
3362
3655
3963
4405
4595
5045
5700
5716
5138
5010
5353
6074
5031
5648
5506
4230
4827
3885

ITSM2000/SUNSPOTS.TSM
101
82
66
35
31
7
20
92
154
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68
38
23
10
24
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131
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16
6
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34
45
43
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28
10
8
2
0
1
5
12
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35
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30
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16
7
4
2
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96
66
64
54
39
21
7
4
23
55
94
96
77
59
44
47
30
16
7
37
74

ITSM2000/USPOP.TSM
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132164569
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203302031
226542203
248709873

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1536
1526
1376
779
1005
1193
1522
1539
1546
2116
2326
1596
1356
1553
1613
814
1150
1225
1691
1759
1754
2100
2062
2012
1897
1964
2186
966
1549
1538
1612
2078
2137
2907
2249
1883
1739
1828
1868
1138
1430
1809
1763
2200
2067
2503
2141
2103
1972
2181
2344
970
1199
1718
1683
2025
2051
2439
2353
2230
1852
2147
2286
1007
1665
1642
1525
1838
1892
2920
2572
2617
2047

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