supply chain management simulation exercise

Due in 48 hours     Friday 2/9/2018      11am

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Submit the solutions to each of the

 

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following 

3

problem assignments in one MS Word document. 
  

Assignment #

1

A ski repair shop at a resort in Colorado sells replacement poles each season.  The shop needs to develop a forecast of next season’s sales so that they can place an order for poles with their supplier well in advance of the beginning of the season.  Sales data for the past five years are shown below.   Compare the forecasts given by the following models.

 

Year:                      1         

2

          3         

4

         

5

Sales (units):          350      3

7

5      355      375      390

 

Develop forecasts using:

1.

a. A 5 year moving average.

b. A weighted moving average model with weights of 0.2, 0.2, 0.1, 0.3, and 0.2 for years 1 through 5 respectively.

c. An exponential smoothing model with year 1 forecast of 3

8

0 and α= 0.3. 

 Assignment # 2 

Togo makes riding lawn mowers and tractors. The company’s expected quarterly demand is given below in the chart.  The company will have 300 mowers in inventory at the beginning of the month and desires to maintain at least that number at the end of each month.  Below is other critical data:

Production cost per unit = $225 

Inventory Carrying cost per quarter per unit = $50 (based on ending inventory)

Hiring Cost per worker = $450

Firing cost per worker = $800

Beginning # of workers = 50

Each worker can produce 110 units per quarter

 

Complete the tables and calculate the cost of the two plans

 

LEVEL Plan

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9000

 

 

 

 

 

3

 

 

 

 

Quarter

Demand

Regular Production

Ending Inventory

Workers Required

Hire

Fire 

1

5000

2

9000

3

7000

4

Total

30,000

 

CHASE PLAN

Quarter

Demand

Regular Production

Ending Inventory

Workers Required

Hire

Fire 

1

5000

 

 

 

 

 

2

9000

 

 

 

 

 

3

7000

 

 

 

 

 

4

9000

 

 

 

 

 

Total

30,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assignment 3 

Calculate the processing load, available capacity, and develop the load profile for the stereo speaker subassembly.  Two employees work the assembly process for 40 hours each.  

 

a. Complete the load chart

b. Prepare a load profile chart from this data.

c. As the planner, what concerns do you have and what changes would you make if any?

 

 

Week

Week

Week

Week

Week

Week

Week

1

2

3

4

210

190

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Part Name:  Stereo speaker

Processing Time =
 20 minutes

Week

5

6

7 8

Planned Order Releases

220

190

210

270

240

200

Processing Load (hours)

Available Capacity (hours)

 

 

Note: Begin Simulation Exercise per instructions.
  For the Access Code refer to the Week 4 – Overview Announcement/email posted Monday, November 27th. (Due Day 7- Week 6-see grading rubrics)

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