Statistics Probability

See attached file

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Q1
A study at a semiconductor manufacturing plant analyzed whether the presece of particles on the die affected the quality of the wafer. The results were:

 

Condition of Die

Quality

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No particles

Particles

Good

348

16

Bad

92

44

(a)
According to the table, what is the probability that a randomly-chosen wafer was produced from a die that had particles?

[2]

(b)
If you know that a wafer is bad, what is the probability, according to the table, that it was produced from a die that had particles?

[2]

(c)
Explain, with reference to your answers to (a) and (b) above, whether the two events: a bad wafer and a die with particles: are independent.

[2]

Q2
The data file LIFETABLE.xls gives the number out of 100,000 NZ-born males who are still alive at each age between 0 and 100, separately for Māori and non-Māori (Source: StatisticsNZ). Use the table to calculate, separately for Māori and non-Māori:

(a)
the probability that they will reach the age of 50;

P(reach50 | Māori) =

P(reach 50 | non-Māori) =
[2]

(b)
the probability that they will reach the age of 60;

P(reach 60 | Māori) =

P(reach 60 | non-Māori) =
[2]

(c)
the probability that they will reach the age of 60 given that they have reached 50.

P(reach 60 | reach50 and Māori) =

P(reach 60 | reach50 and non-Māori) =
[2]

Q3
Check$mart’s records show that 58% of their customers pay only the minimum amount on their credit card each month.

(a)
What is the probability that, from a random sample of 6 Check$mart credit-card holders, all will pay only the minimum amount?

[2]

(b)
What is the probability that, from a random sample of 6 Check$mart credit-card holders, at least two will pay only the minimum amount?

[2]

(c)
Why can we not work out, from the information given, the probability that a customer pays more than the minimum amount?

[2]

Q4
A small trucking company has determined that on an annual basis the distance travelled per truck is normally distributed with a mean of 100.0 thousand kilometres and a standard deviation of 20.0 thousand kilometres.

(a)
What proportion of trucks travel more than 150,000 km in the year?

[3]

(b)
What distance will be travelled by 99% of trucks in the year?

[3]

(c)
What is the probability that the average distance travelled in one year by the fleet of 8 trucks does not exceed 120,000 km? [Note: part (c) needs material from CAST 6.1.6]

[4]

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115.101/Ass2/1203
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>Sheet

1

0000

000

1

2

4

3

9

3

4

5

6

4

7

2

8

9

2

9

3

10

4

11

4

13

3

14

1

4

7

1

5

8

22

91

23

7

24

1

04

2

26

27

02

0

28

2

98

67

30

7

6

32

84

34

77

35

1

36

89

37

43

38

39

40

41

42

43

51

45

46

47

48

44

49

51

52

53

54

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

66

67

68

69

70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96 993

97

98

99 273

100

Age Maori Non-Maori
0 10 100
9 92 4 6 99 5 14
9

91 7 3 99

47
99

11 99

45
9

90 73 9

94 34
99034 99

41 8
99002 99

40
9

89 77 99

39
98 57 99

38
98941 99

37
989

27 99

36
989

13 99

35
12 9

88 96 9

93 42
98

87 993 26
98

84 99

30
15 98

79 99

273
16 98734 99

23
17 98

64 991

76
18 9

85 28 99109
19 9

83 86 99030
20 98

22 98942
21 9

80 61 988

49
9

78 987

54
97 24 986

60
97

56 985

69
25 9

74 98

48
9

72 52 98399
9

71 98

32
96

95 9

82 43
29 9

67 9

81
96

63 98090
31 96

46 98013
9

62 97934
33 96088 978

53
9

58 97769
95649 97

68
95404 9

75
9

51 97493
948

65 97393
945

70 97288
94257 97176
93925 97057
93573 96931
93200 96796
44 92802 9

66
92377 96494
91922 96325
91433 96142
90906 9

59
90337 95728
50 89719 95493
89047 95237
88315 94957
87516 94650
86642 94314
55 85686 93945
84642 93541
83504 93099
82267 92615
80928 92085
79483 91504
77930 90867
76269 90167
74499 89398
72622 88553
70640 87624
68555 86604
66370 85485
64089 84259
61716 82917
59256 81448
56716 79840
54104 78082
51427 76162
48691 74069
45898 71793
43049 69327
40145 66666
37190 63810
34191 60761
31161 57525
28117 54113
25087 50539
22122 46816
19287 42956
16618 38975
14122 34904
11816 30802
9720 26749
7854 22835
6229 19149
4847 15773
3701 12761
2765 10112
2017 7836
1435 5930
4374
667 3137
434 2183
1471
165 958

Sheet2

Sheet3

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