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Linear Regression
Regression Analysis
for SATS
y =
.68x + 0.0017
R² = 0.2099
3.1638951774458905E-2 1.039373084910657E-2 -7.1789409019913653E-3 1.1528825368704299E-2 -3.6029508628639358E-3 5.487328249578776E-2 3.8199629220858802E-2 -6.9170776580708249E-2 -1.0593065511582905E-2 5.4775121407052933E-3 3.0058244945281365E-2 9.8377009843747101E-2 -2.0762564478290196E-2 -5.3684295303893501E-2 6.7513718805604209E-2 -7.2818394182846732E-2 -9.5319917473018809E-2 2.2054582046121752E-2 -1.2497112277803554E-2 -4.0343804862059433E-3 2.1533557641225467E-2 3.1669052751859217E-2 -5.3215377454618518E-2 -3.2350691527379479E-3 1.4417909498521368E-2 6.6186812277651359E-4 1.4524007063464578E-2 4.9926618378283168E-2 -1.2507949258627003E-2 5.367288424304608E-2 3.0120613238392907E-2 -7.4634994167302668E-2 3.018223629071921E-2 4.9657198112590208E-2 2.0070300690258869E-3 -5.2550023812646236E-2 6.0575670175541343E-2 3.0549237494954896E-2 -8.0222407645075908E-3 3.0726213891781429E-2 -2.4932310469313979E-2
165802 1.7431775636731867E-3
4695981 0.12958311519479523 6.5911328196028601E-2 -8.6803666825081532E-2 -8.5662708054224206E-3 1.6732368677744629E-2 -3.4349570839371367E-2 -0.23939446608815082 -0.13906823117210168 -6.4751762155889014E-2 -6.0694680988213467E-3 -7.6764538216261238E-2 1.4241737854177034E-2 4.6695440519259362E-2 -6.3077202663185221E-3 1.4991196445040603E-2 0 -2.7027027027027053E-2 2.7777777777777804E-2 2.8571428571428598E-2 4.4776119402984947E-2 8.0645161290322648E-2 6.8965517241379379E-2 -3.3333333333333368E-2 1.6949152542372899E-2 5.3571428571428416E-2 1.8181818181818195E-2 7.8431372549019676E-2 -1.9230769230769246E-2 -1.8867924528301903E-2 3.9215686274509838E-2 -7.2727272727272779E-2 -3.5087719298245452E-2 0 1.7857142857142672E-2 3.703703703703707E-2 1.8867924528301903E-2 -1.8518518518518535E-2 0 1.8867924528301903E-2 3.9215686274509838E-2 0 4.0816326530612283E-2 2.0833333333333353E-2 2.1276595744680871E-2 4.444444 4444444363E-2 2.2727272727272749E-2
2653059 8.8888888888888837E-2 4.6511627906976785E-2 0 2.3809523809523832E-2 0
2340424 -2.0833333333333353E-2 9.090909090909087E-2 0 -0.13725490196078433 -0.10526315789473675
054054054054046 5.7142857142857197E-2 -2.7777777777777804E-2 -5.2631578947368467E-2 -2.5641025641025664E-2 5.4054054054054106E-2 -5.1282051282051329E-2 –
096774193548382
2820515 -2.5000000000000022E-2 3.8961038961038995E-2
4444446 -1.0989010989010999E-2 0 0
1818182
Weekly
SATS Weekly Returns
Sheet1
| Start | 1/2/08 | ||||||||
| End | 12/3/12 | ||||||||
| Interval | Monthly | ||||||||
| StarHill Global | Starhil Global | ||||||||
| Date | Stock Prices (Adj Close) | ||||||||
| 0.7 | 3167.08 | 0.0316389518 | |||||||
| 11/1/12 | 3069.95 | -0.027027027 | 0.0103937308 | ||||||
| 10/1/12 | 0.74 | 3038.37 | 0.0277777778 | -0.0071789409 | |||||
| 9/3/12 | 3060.34 | 0.0285714286 | 0.0115288254 | ||||||
| 8/1/12 | 3025.46 | 0.0447761194 | -0.0036029509 | ||||||
| 7/2/12 | 0.6 | 3036.4 | 0.0806451613 | 0.0548732825 | |||||
| 6/1/12 | 0.62 | 2878.45 | 0.0689655172 | 0.0381996292 | |||||
| 5/1/12 | 0.58 | 2772.54 | -0.0333333333 | -0.0691707766 | |||||
| 4/2/12 | 2978.57 | 0.0169491525 | -0.0105930655 | ||||||
| 3/1/12 | 0.59 | 3010.46 | 0.0535714286 | 0.0054775121 | |||||
| 2/1/12 | 0.56 | 2994.06 | 0.0181818182 | 0.0300582449 | |||||
| 1/2/12 | 0.55 | 2906.69 | 0.0784313725 | 0.0983770098 | |||||
| 1 | 2/1/11 | 0.51 | 2646.35 | -0.0192307692 | -0.0207625645 | ||||
| 11/1/11 | 0.52 | 2702.46 | – | 0.0188679245 | -0.0536842953 | ||||
| 10/3/11 | 0.53 | 2855.77 | 0.0392156863 | 0.0675137188 | |||||
| 9/1/11 | 2675.16 | -0.0727272727 | -0.0728183942 | ||||||
| 8/1/11 | 2885.26 | -0.0350877193 | -0.0953199175 | ||||||
| 7/1/11 | 0.57 | 3189.26 | 0.022054582 | ||||||
| 6/1/11 | 312 | 0.44 | 0.0178571429 | -0.0124971123 | |||||
| 5/3/11 | 3159.93 | 0.037037037 | -0.0040343805 | ||||||
| 4/1/11 | 3172.73 | 0.0215335576 | |||||||
| 3/1/11 | 3105.85 | -0.0185185185 | 0.0316690528 | ||||||
| 3010.51 | -0.0532153775 | ||||||||
| 1/3/11 | 3179.72 | -0.0032350692 | |||||||
| 1 | 2/1/10 | 3190.04 | 0.0144179095 | ||||||
| 11/1/10 | 3144.7 | 0.0006618681 | |||||||
| 10/1/10 | 3142.62 | 0.0408163265 | 0.0145240071 | ||||||
| 9/1/10 | 0.49 | 3097.63 | 0.0208333333 | 0.0499266184 | |||||
| 8/2/10 | 0.48 | 2950.33 | 0.0212765957 | -0.0125079493 | |||||
| 7/1/10 | 0.47 | 2987.7 | 0.0444444444 | 0.0536728842 | |||||
| 6/1/10 | 0.45 | 2835.51 | 0.0227272727 | 0.0301206132 | |||||
| 5/3/10 | 2752.6 | -0.0746349942 | |||||||
| 4/1/10 | 2974.61 | 0.0888888889 | 0.0301822363 | ||||||
| 3/1/10 | 2887.46 | 0.0465116279 | 0.0496571981 | ||||||
| 0.43 | 275 | 0.8 | 0.0020070301 | ||||||
| 1/4/10 | 2745.35 | 0.0238095238 | -0.0525500238 | ||||||
| 12/1/09 | 0.42 | 2897.62 | 0.0605756702 | ||||||
| 11/2/09 | 2732.12 | 0.0305492375 | |||||||
| 10/1/09 | 2651.13 | -0.0208333333 | -0.0080222408 | ||||||
| 9/1/09 | 2672.57 | 0.0909090909 | 0.0307262139 | ||||||
| 8/3/09 | 2592.9 | -0.0249323105 | |||||||
| 7/1/09 | 2659.2 | -0.137254902 | |||||||
| 6/1/09 | 2333.14 | -0.1052631579 | 0.0017431776 | ||||||
| 5/1/09 | 2329.08 | 0.5405405405 | |||||||
| 4/1/09 | 1920.28 | 0.0571428571 | 0.1295831152 | ||||||
| 3/2/09 | 0.35 | 1699.99 | -0.0277777778 | 0.0659113282 | |||||
| 2/2/09 | 0.36 | 1594.87 | -0.0526315789 | -0.0868036668 | |||||
| 1/1/09 | 0.38 | 1746.47 | -0.025 | -0.0085662708 | |||||
| 1 | 2/1/08 | 0.39 | 1761.56 | 0.0540540541 | 0.0167323687 | ||||
| 11/3/08 | 1732.57 | -0.0512820513 | -0.0343495708 | ||||||
| 10/2/08 | 1794.2 | -0.3709677419 | -0.2393944661 | ||||||
| 9/1/08 | 2358.91 | -0.1390682312 | |||||||
| 8/1/08 | 0.78 | 2739.95 | -0.0647517622 | ||||||
| 7/1/08 | 2929.65 | 0.038961039 | -0.0060694681 | ||||||
| 6/2/08 | 0.77 | 2947.54 | -0.0767645382 | ||||||
| 5/2/08 | 0.9 | 3192.62 | -0.010989011 | 0.0142417379 | |||||
| 4/1/08 | 0.91 | 3147.79 | 0.0466954405 | ||||||
| 3/3/08 | 3007.36 | -0.0063077203 | |||||||
| 3026.45 | 0.0149911964 | ||||||||
| 2981.75 | |||||||||
| 1.1116439063 |
Sheet2
Sheet3
Project Description:
REIT INDUSTRY , STARTHILL GLOBAL Stock code: P40U.SI
1) GO TO YAHOO FINANCE.SG AND RETRIEVE THE 60 MONTHLY ADJUSTED CLOSING PRICES OF STARHILL GLOBAL 01 JUNE 2008 TO DEC 2012
2) REPEAT THE ABOVE STEP FOR STI (STRAITS TIMES INDEX) WHICH WILL BE OUR MARKET PROXY
3) FIND A CLOSE COMPETITOR/ PEER TO STARHILL GLOBAL. USE SUNTEC REIT.
4) GATHER THE LAST 5 YEARS (2008-2012) FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR BOTH STRARHILL GLOBAL AND SUNTEC REIT AND DO A 3 STEP DUPONT ANALYSIS ON BOTH. MAKE COMPARISON WITH RELVANT COMMENTS!
OBJECTIVE OF THIS PROJECT: TAKING 7 AUGUST 2013, STARHILL GLOBAL CURRENT PRICE OF $, OUR ROLE IS TO DETERMINE AND FORECAST A 12 MONTH PRICE TARGET FOR STARHILL GLOBAL.
WHY DO A VALUATION PROJECT.
• BEING ABLE TO VALUE SOMETHING (A FINANCIAL ASSET IN THIS CASE) IS AN IMPORTANT SKILL SET.
• THE PROJECT WOULD TAKE YOU THOROUGH THOUGHT PROCESS TO SHARPEN YUR ANALYTICAL (BOTH QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE) AND FORECASTING SKILLS.
• MOST IMPORTANTLY, A VALUATION PROJECT IS NOT JUST A NUMBER CRUNCHING EXERCISE!
• GIVE AN INDUSTRY OVERVIEW AND IDENTIFY THE KEY DRIERS SPECIFIC TO THE INDUSTRY N GIVE AN OVERVIEW OF THE FIRM’S BUSINESS LINES AND ITS CHARACTERISTICS -10%
• 1) ESTIMATE BETA USING 60 HISTORICAL MONTHLY DATA POINTS FOLLOWED BYBETA ADJUSTMENT
2) ESTIMATE EXPECTED MARKET (STI) RETURNS IN 2013
3) PICK RISK FREE RATE
4) ESTIMATE REQUIRED RATE OF RETURN
1-4: 10%
• PERFROM A 3 STEP DUPONT ANALYSIS ON THE FIRM AND COMPARE IT WITH ITS PEERS – 10%
• FROM THE ANALYSIS OF THE ECONOMY, INDUSTRY IDENTIFY THE KEY DRIVERS (BOTH POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE) THAT WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE FIRM WITH REGRADS TO: -10%
1) FUTURE REVENUE/ SALES (IF APPLICABLE)
2) FUTURE EXPENSES (IF APPLCABLE)
3) CAPEX (IF ANY)
1) FUTURE GROWTH RATE, HENCE
2) FUTURE EARNING, HENCE
HENCE:
1) AFFECTING THE RISKNESS OF THE STOCKRECALIBRATE BETA),
2) AFFECTING FUTURE DIVIDENDS PAYOUT
• USING CASH FLOW VALUATION TECHNIQUES. -20%
1) USE DDM TO ESTIMATE THE 12 MONTH PRICE TARGET
2) USE FCFE TO ESTIMATE THE 12 MONTH PRICE TARGET
• USING RELATIVE VALUATION TECHNIQUES. -20%
1) USE P/E AND COMPARE TO PEER
2) USE P/B AND COMPARE TO PEER
• ASSESS AND CONCLUDE SUITABILITY OF ABOVE VALUATION TECHNIQUES WITH RELATION TO COMPANY ANALYSED N CONCLUDE AND TAKE A STAND ON THE 6 MONTH TARGET PRICE -10%
• OVERALL PRESENTATION, CLARITY OF WRITING AND EXPRESSION. USE OF APPROPRIATE FIGURE, CHARTS. N MOST IMPORTANTLY FOLLOW BY A EXECUTIVE SUMMARY -10%
This Report writing must have low plagerism when it comes to turn it in. It must be written in good english for understanding.
