| Use this spreadsheet structure to lay out the various sections of your project. |
| The purpose of this spreadsheet is to make it easy for your professor to locate the |
| various sections of your project. Please don’t alter the Worksheet Tabs or titles. |
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| 2 |
>Instructions
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BUSN-2
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| 7 |
8 |
Budgeting and Forecasting Template Instructions
| Use this spreadsheet structure to lay out the various sections of your project. |
| The purpose of this spreadsheet is to make it easy for your professor to locate the |
| various sections of your project. Please don’t alter the Worksheet Tabs or titles. |
| After you finish your calculations in this spreadsheet, you will have to |
| create a written report where you take screenshots from this spreadsheet |
| and put them in the Budget Proposal Template, along with necessary |
| explanations. Detailed instructions for how to write the report |
| are found in the Budget Proposal Template, a word document. |
2.
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| 1 |
& 2.2
| Sales |
Forecast
| SALES FORECAST (
| amount |
s in thousands) using multiplicative model
| Quarters (x) |
sales (y) |
XY |
X² |
Trend |
%age change |
seasonal variations |
Sales forecast(trend*seasonal variation) |
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| Year |
1
1
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| 5 |
1.
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| 0 |
0
51.00 1
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| 4 |
| 9 |
.44
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| 10 |
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| 3 |
.
1
| 6 |
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| 100 |
.
20 |
6
| 49 |
.54
2
| 52.28 |
104.55 |
4
51.22 |
| 102.06 |
100.0
| 36 |
51.24 |
3
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| 53 |
.58
| 16 |
0.75
9 53
| 101.1 |
0
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| 99.952 |
52.97 |
4
| 54.92 |
2
| 19 |
.69
16
54.78 |
| 10
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| 0.2 |
6
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| 99.946 |
54.75 |
| Year 2 |
5
56.43 |
282.16 |
25 |
56.56 |
| 99.77 |
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| 100.206 |
56.68 |
6
| 57.98 |
347.90 |
36
58.34 |
| 99.39 |
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| 100.036 |
58.36 |
7
| 59.58 |
4
| 17 |
.05
49
60.
| 12 |
| 99.1 |
0
99.952
60.09 |
8
| 61.22 |
489.73 |
64 |
61.9 |
| 98.9 |
0
99.946
61.87 |
| Year 3 |
9
62.90 |
566.10 |
81 |
63.68 |
| 98.78 |
100.206
63.81 |
10
| 64.63 |
646.30 |
100
65.46 |
| 98.73 |
100.036
65.48 |
| 11 |
66.41 |
730.48 |
121 |
67.24 |
| 98.76 |
99.952
67.21 |
12
| 68.23 |
8
| 18 |
.
80 |
| 14 |
4
69.02 |
| 98.86 |
99.946
68.98 |
| Year 4 |
13 |
70.11 |
911.43 |
169 |
70.8 |
| 99.03 |
100.206
70.95 |
14
| 72.04 |
1,008.53 |
196 |
72.58 |
| 99.25 |
100.036
72.61 |
| 15 |
74.02 |
1,110.28 |
225 |
74.36 |
| 99.54 |
99.952
74.32 |
16
| 76.05 |
1,216.87 |
256 |
76.14 |
| 99.89 |
99.946
76.10 |
| Year 5 |
17
78.15 |
1,328.48 |
289 |
77.92 |
| 100.29 |
100.206
78.08 |
18
| 80.29 |
1,445.31 |
324 |
79.7 |
| 100.75 |
100.036
79.73 |
19
| 82.
| 50 |
1,567.56 |
361 |
81.48 |
| 101.26 |
99.952
81.44 |
20
| 84.77 |
1,695.43 |
400 |
83.26 |
| 101.82 |
99.946
83.22 |
| Sumation |
210 |
1,327.09 |
15,118.38 |
2870 |
| %age changes |
| Eqn: y=a+bx |
Quarter 1 |
Quarter 2 |
Quarter 3 |
Quarter 4 |
| ∑Y=na+b∑x |
1327.09=20a+b(210) |
| year |
1
103.16 |
102.06 101.1 100.26
| ∑YX=a∑x+b∑x² |
15118.38=a(210)+b(2870) |
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| year 2 |
99.77 99.39 99.1 98.9
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| year 3 |
98.78 98.73 98.76 98.86
| Eqn: Y= 47.66+1.78b |
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| year 4 |
99.03 99.25 99.54 99.89
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| year 5 |
100.29 100.75 101.26 101.82
| totals |
501.03 |
| 500 |
.18
499.76 |
499.73 |
| average |
100.206 100.036 99.952 99.946
| Final Yearly sales forecast(amounts in thousands) |
Year Sales
1
| 208.51 |
2
| 237.00 |
3
| 265.49 |
4
| 293.98 |
5
| 322.47 |
| I have used the multiplicative model to forecast the sales. The first sales of the entreprenueur will be from servicing the 100 homes he will purchase from the retiring entreprenueur. He will then carry out extensive advertising campaign which will increase his sales at a
|
| rate |
of 2.5% starting quater 2. there will also be increase in sales starting the first quarter of year 2 due to the 1% economic growth. the sales will increaese at a rate of 0.25% per quarter
3.0 Capital Expenditure Budget
| CAPITAL EXPENDITURE BUDGET (
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| Amounts |
in Dollars)
| Decsription |
Per team |
5 teams |
Cost per unit |
| Total |
amounts
| Initial route of 100 homes |
1
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| 200 |
0
0
| A pickup truck |
1 5
|
| 2000 |
0
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| 1000 |
0
0
| A trailer |
1 5 2000
10000 |
| A large riding lawn mower |
1 5
| 800 |
|
| 4000 |
| A small riding lawn mower |
1 5
| 600 |
| 300 |
0
| A push lawn mower |
1 5
120 |
600
| A gas powered lawn trimmers |
2 10 200 2000
| A gas powered lawn edgers |
2 10
360 |
3600 |
| A gas powered blowers |
2 10 80 800
| A hedge trimmer |
2 10 500
5000 |
| A long ladder |
2 10 5 50
| A back saw |
1 5 2 10
| A drink cooler |
1 5 200 1000
| Tools for minor repair |
100
| Protection equipments |
100
| Office furnitures and fittings |
1000
| Laptop |
300
| Accounting softwares |
250 |
| Other office equipments |
700 |
| TOTAL INITIAL
| INVESTMENT |
|
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|
| 252510 |
| All the
| cost |
s shown are derived from the manufacturers that have posted their prices on the internet
| I have assumed that the enterprenueur will borrow the initial investment from a bank. The cost of borrowing for small businesses is 7% |
4.1 Cashflows
| Put your detailed cash inflows and cash outflows here, also showing net cash flow. |
| CASH FLOWS |
Year 1 2 3 4 5
| Cash inflows |
| 208510 |
| 237000 |
| 265490 |
| 293980 |
| 322470 |
| Cash outflows: |
| Advertising |
10000
| 8000 |
6000 |
4000 2000
| Rent |
|
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|
| 30000 |
30000 30000 30000 30000
|
| Interest |
17676 |
| 14141 |
10605 |
| 7070 |
| 3535 |
|
| Salary to manager |
24000 |
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| 42000 |
42000 42000 42000
|
| Insurance |
1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
| Salary to workers |
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| 50000 |
50000 50000 50000 50000
|
| Income tax |
7838 |
13309 |
25080 |
36905 |
48676 |
| Commission |
2877 |
3271 |
3664 |
4057 |
4450 |
| Total outflows |
143391 |
161721 |
168349 |
175032 |
181661 |
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| Net cashflows |
|
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| 65119 |
|
| 75279 |
|
| 97141 |
|
| 118948 |
|
| 140809 |
| We exclude
| depriciation |
since it does not involve real cash
4.2
| NPV |
Analysis
| Create an NPV Analysis here. |
year Net cashflows
| Discounting rate |
PVAF at 7% |
Present value |
1 65119
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|
| 0.07 |
0.9346 |
60,860.22 |
2 75279 0.07
| 0.8734 |
65,748.68 |
3 97141 0.07
| 0.8163 |
79,296.20 |
4 118948 0.07
| 0.7629 |
90,745.43 |
5 140809 0.07
| 0.713 |
100,396.82 |
Total
| 397,047.34 |
| Initial investment cost |
252510
NPV
| 144,537.34 |
| I have used the discounting rate of 7% which is the cost of servicing the loan |
4.3 Rate of Return Calculations
| Show your rate of return calculations in this worksheet. |
| Rate of return = average profits/average investment |
| where: average profits=profit for 5 years/5years |
| average investment= total initial invstment/2 |
| Therefore: ARR= |
| YEAR |
PROFIT |
INVESTMENT
1
| 14556 |
252510
2
|
| 24717 |
0
3
|
| 46578 |
0
4
|
| 68538 |
0
5
| 90399 |
0
| TOTALS |
244788 |
252510
| AVERAGE |
48957.6 |
126255 |
| RRR = |
0.3877676132 |
| %AGE |
38.80% |
4.4 Payback Period Calculations
| Show your payback period calculations here. |
Year Net cashflows
| Accumulated
| payment |
1 65119 65119
2 75279
| 140398 |
3 97141
| 237539 |
4 118948 252510
5 140809
| payback period = 3 +[ (252510-237539)/118948]*12 |
| Payback period is 3 years and 2 months |
5.0 Pro Forma Financials
| Put your Pro-Forma Income Statement, Balance sheet and statement of cash flows here, along with any other supporting calculations or schedules. |
| Pro-forma income statement |
|
|
|
| year 1 |
year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5
| Details |
Amounts Amounts Amounts Amounts Amounts Amounts Amounts Amounts Amounts Amounts
Sales 208510 237000 265490 293980 322470
| Expenditures |
Salary to manager
| 24,000.00 |
42000
42,000.00 |
42000 42000
| Salary to Lawn service workers |
| 50,000.00 |
50000 50,000.00 50000 50000
| Advertsing |
10,000.00 |
8000
6,000.00 |
4000 2000
| Office rent |
| 30,000.00 |
30000 30,000.00 30000 30000
| Depreciation |
| 50,410.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 50410 |
50,410.00 50410 50410
| Interest cost |
| 17,676 |
.00
14141
| 10,605 |
.00
7070 3535
Insurance
|
| 1,000.00 |
1000 1,000.00 1000 1000
| Dimuniation |
| 153 |
.00
153
153.00 |
0 0
| Commission to credit card company |
2,877.44 |
3270.6 |
3,663.76 |
4056.924 |
4450.086 |
| Total expenses |
186116.438 |
198974.6 |
193831.762 |
188536.924 |
183395.086 |
| profit befor tax |
22393.562 |
38025.4 |
71658.238 |
105443.076 |
139074.914 |
Income tax
| 7837.7467 |
13308.89 |
25080.3833 |
36905.0766 |
48676.2199 |
| Profit after tax |
14555.8153 |
24716.51 |
46577.8547 |
68537.9994 |
90398.6941 |
| Intrest payable |
amount rate payment Interest
| The amount of loan borrowed is equals to the initial capital investment which is payable in equal annual installments over a period of 5 years. The interest is payable at an actual rate of 7% per annum on a reducing balance method |
year 1
|
|
|
|
|
| 252,510.00 |
0.07
|
|
|
|
| 50502 |
17,676
year 2
|
| 202,008.00 |
0.07 50502
14,141 |
year 3
| 151,506.00 |
0.07 50502 10,605
year 4
| 101,004.00 |
0.07 50502
7,070 |
year 5
| 50,502.00 |
0.07 50502
3,535 |
| Depreciation charge |
cost rate depriciation
| The equipments and other assets are depriciated over a period of 5 years after which they will have a nil salage value, over the period of five years this will give us annual rate of 20% |
year 1
|
|
|
|
| 252,050.00 |
0.2 50410
year 2 252,050.00 0.2 50410
year 3 252,050.00 0.2 50410
year 4 252,050.00 0.2 50410
year 5 252,050.00 0.2 50410
| I have excluded the cost of tools for minor repair, software, protection equipment and backsaw since they will suffer dimunuation for three years |
| Tax is payable at the rate of 35% of pbt |
| Advertising costs reduce over time since there will be increased bussiness goodwill as the bussiness continues in operation |
| Proforma Balance shhet |
| DETAILS |
year 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5
| Non-current assets |
252,510.00 252,510.00 252,510.00 252,510.00 252,510.00
| Depriciation & DIMMUNIATION |
(50,563.00) |
-100973 |
-151383 |
-201640 |
(252,050.00) |
| Net book value |
201,947.00 |
151,537.00 |
101,127.00 |
50,870.00 |
460.00 |
| Current assets(bank) |
47,323.00 |
57483 |
79344 |
101304 |
123,165.00 |
| Total assets |
| 249,270.00 |
| 209,020.00 |
| 180,471.00 |
| 152,174.00 |
| 123,625.00 |
| Capital & Liability |
| Retained earnings |
14,556.00 |
24717 46578 68538
| 90,399.00 |
| Loan liability |
202,008.00
151506 |
101004 |
50502
– 0 |
| 216,564.00 |
176,223.00 |
147,582.00 |
119,040.00 |
90,399.00
| Current liabilties |
32,706.00 |
32,797.00 |
32,889.00 |
33,134.00 |
33,226.00 |
| Total capital and liabilities |
249,270.00 209,020.00 180,471.00 152,174.00 123,625.00
Sheet1
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