Linear Regression Case Study: Predicting Winnings for NASCAR Drivers

Please reference the photo and attached excel file. Complete the work on the excel file or post answer with how it should be inputted into the excel file. 

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  1. Suppose you wanted to predict Winnings ($) using only the number of poles won (Poles), the number of wins (Wins), the number of top five finishes (Top 5), or the number of top ten finishes (Top 10). Which of these four variables provides the best single predictor of winnings?
  2. Develop an estimated regression equation that can be used to predict Winnings ($) given the number of poles won (Poles), the number of wins (Wins), the number of top five finishes (Top 5), and the number of top ten finishes (Top 10). Test for individual significance and discuss your findings and conclusions. 
  3. Create two new independent variables: Top 2–5 and Top 6–10. Top 2–5 represents the number of times the driver finished between second and fifth place and Top 6–10 represents the number of times the driver finished between sixth and tenth place. Develop an estimated regression equation that can be used to predict Winnings ($) using Poles, Wins, Top 2–5, and Top 6–10. Test for individual significance and discuss your findings and conclusions.
  4. Based upon the results of your analysis, what estimated regression equation would you recommend using to predict Winnings ($)? Provide an interpretation of the estimated regression coefficients for this equation.

2

>Data

0

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1
5

,529,

0

2403
3
1
19

0
4
9
19

0

3
3

3,580

1
3

14

0
2
14

1
0
4
12

3,690

1
3

18

0
1
5
14

2284
3
1
9

3
2
8
16

,470

1
4
14
18

0
1
4
16

2
1
8

0
0
1
10

3
0
3
10

0
1
4
8

1
0
3
12

936
0
1
5
12

0
0
2
5

2
0
2
8

2
0
2
10

2
1
4
8

2
0
4
6

0
0
3
7

0
1
2
5

1
0
2
4

1
0
1
3

0
0
1
2

0
0
1
2

0
0
0
0

0
0
1
1

0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0

Driver Points Poles Wins Top

5 Top

1 0 Winnings ($)
Tony Stewart 2

4 3 9 19 6 8 7
Carl Edwards 26 8,485,990
Kevin Harvick 2345 6,197,

14
Matt Kenseth 2330 12 20 6,

18
Brad Keselowski 2319 10 5,087,740
Jimmie Johnson 2304 21 6,296,360
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 2290 4,

16
Jeff Gordon 2287 13 5,912,830
Denny Hamlin 2284 5,401,190
Ryan Newman 17 5,303,020
Kurt Busch 2262 5,

936
Kyle Busch 2246 6,161,020
Clint Bowyer 1047 5,633,950
Kasey Kahne 1041 15 4,775,160
A.J. Allmendinger 1013 4,825,560
Greg Biffle 997 4,318,050
Paul Menard 947 3,853,690
Martin Truex Jr. 937 3,955,560
Marcos Ambrose 4,750,390
Jeff Burton 935 3,807,780
Juan Montoya 932 5,020,780
Mark Martin 930 3,830,910
David Ragan 906 4,203,660
Joey Logano 902 3,856,010
Brian Vickers 846 4,301,880
Regan Smith 820 4,579,860
Jamie McMurray 795 4,794,770
David Reutimann 757 4,374,770
Bobby Labonte 670 4,505,650
David Gilliland 572 3,878,390
Casey Mears 541 2,838,320
Dave Blaney 508 3,229,210
Andy Lally* 398 2,868,220
Robby Gordon 268 2,271,890
J.J. Yeley 192 2,559,500

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