READ AND ANSWER QUESTIONS AT THE BOTTOM 10-18, 10-19
Banking on Forgiveness
When James Wolfensohn became head of the World Bank, he bluntly admitted the bank had “screwed up” in Africa. Decades of loans had erected a vast modern infrastructure (dams, roads, and power plants) for Africa’s poor, but the gap between rich and poor did not narrow. In fact, the policies of the bank and global financial regulators had created a new crisis in sub-Saharan Africa: These nations were now mired in debt they could not possibly repay. Africa’s total debt at the time almost equaled the annual gross national product of the entire continent. For instance, in Mozambique, where 25 percent of all children die from infectious disease before the age of five, the government was spending twice as much paying off debt as it was spending on health care and education.
But just when many countries were receiving debt relief, the debate over aid versus loans arose again. Groups debated how to prevent economic collapses and debt problems in the developing world and how to use dwindling aid more efficiently. Some countries wanted to give more foreign aid but wanted the money to be given as grants to financially and politically stable nations. They also wanted World Bank funds to be given to poor nations as grants and not loans that nations would need to repay.
Other nations feared that giving the money away as grants would drain the World Bank’s coffers, as well as their own. They acknowledged that they may not be able to do as much for the least-developed countries, but that the role of the World Bank, after all, is to act as a bank and not a donor. Support for this view was World Bank data that showed more than 95 percent of all loans are repaid and that poor nations are more careful with loans than they are with handouts.
For years, nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), such as advocacy group Oxfam International, had lobbied the Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to write off loans to their poorest borrowers, calling for “debt forgiveness” or “debt relief.” Fortunately for the African people and their advocates, the new head of the bank put debt forgiveness at the top of his agenda.
In the fall of 1996, the World Bank and the IMF announced a plan to reduce the external debt of the world’s poorest, most heavily indebted countries. The purpose of the plan, called the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Debt Initiative, was to slash overall debt stocks by 50 percent, lower poor nations’ debt service, and boost social spending in poor nations. The HIPC initiative identified countries in Africa, Latin America, Asia, and the Middle East that may qualify for debt reduction. But debt relief was not automatic. The international banking community used debt as both a carrot and a stick: Whereas nations with good reform records obtained relief, those without reforms did not.
Then, in 2006, the world’s largest international lending institutions launched the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) to work alongside the HIPC initiative to help countries reach their debt-relief goals. By 2017, the 36 participating countries that received HIPC assistance had obtained a total debt relief of $99 billion from the IMF and other creditors. These countries saw their debt stocks reduced by 80 percent and their debt service as a percentage of GDP drop from 114 percent to 35 percent.
One success story is Uganda. Uganda was the first country declared eligible for assistance in 1997 and was the first to receive debt relief under the HIPC initiative in 1998. The decision to begin the program with Uganda was not an arbitrary one. While under the brutal dictatorship of Idi Amin, Uganda was treated as a pariah by creditors. But then President Yoweri Museveni led the country through a decade-long process of economic reform. Uganda became a model country, boasting a steady growth rate of around 5 percent, with coffee as its main export. By offering debt relief to Uganda, the World Bank and the IMF rewarded Uganda’s exemplary track record by reducing its debt to the lowest possible level—about twice the value of its exports. Savings from the debt-relief program are pledged to improve health care and to make primary education available to all Ugandan families.
10-18. The World Bank and the IMF had once argued that the leniency of debt forgiveness would make it more difficult for themselves to borrow cheaply on the world’s capital markets. If you were a World Bank donor, would you have supported the HIPC Debt Initiative or argued against it? Explain.
10-19. While working together on the HIPC Debt Initiative, things came to a standstill when the IMF gave a more optimistic forecast for Uganda’s coffee exports than did the World Bank and so argued against the need for debt relief. Which organization do you think should play a greater role in aiding economic development? Explain.